Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro prediction
Mirassol are favourites at home against an Atlético Mineiro side with 11 players missing and a Copa Sudamericana final one week away. The corneredge.bet model rates over 7.5 corners at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 59%, and the betting market makes Mirassol 47% favourites at 2.11. Mirassol sit three points above the relegation zone, while a win would lift Atlético Mineiro into sixth place, one point behind fifth, the last place sure of a 2027 Copa Libertadores spot. Tomás Pérez is suspended and six Atlético Mineiro players are injured, among them Maycon, Alan Franco and Alan Minda. Editor score call: Mirassol 2-1 Atlético Mineiro.
Match facts
- Match
- Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro
- Competition
- Brasileirão Série A 2026
- Round
- Round 35 of 38
- Date
- Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
- Kickoff
- 21:30 UTC
- Venue
- Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
- Referee
- Savio Pereira Sampaio
- At stake
- Mirassol are three points above the bottom four
- Last meeting
- Atlético Mineiro 3-1 Mirassol, 16 May 2026
- Missing
- 11 Atlético Mineiro players, among them Tomás Pérez (suspended)
Model verdict for Saturday, Nov 14 2026
Corners give the strongest model lean, goals come second, and the market makes Mirassol favourites at home.
Over 7.5 corners
Bet
Over 7.5 corners
Over 9.5 corners
Bet
Over 9.5 corners
Over 2.5 goals
Bet
Over 2.5 goals
Market view, best prices: Mirassol 2.11 (47% implied), draw 3.62, Atlético Mineiro 3.85 (26% implied).
Acca bets with Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro
TrebleLower risk
76% avg confidence
View slip
TrebleLower risk
-
1
1.30
Sat 14 Nov, 21:30 UTC · Serie A · this match
Mirassol v Atletico-MG
Corners Over 8.5 corners 77% - 2 1.24
- 3 1.43
Where to bet it
Four bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Mirassol v Atletico-MGOver 8.5 corners | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.26 | 1.26 | — | — | — |
| 2Chapecoense-sc v Vasco DA GamaOver 7.5 corners | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.17 | 1.17 | — | — | — |
| 3AFC Wimbledon v BlackpoolOver 9.5 corners | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.42 |
| Combined odds | 2.31 | 2.31 | 2.12 | 2.12 | — | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 3 legs combine at odds of 2.31 at BetFury, with 76% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $23.10. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
FivefoldBalanced
74% avg confidence
View slip
FivefoldBalanced
-
1
1.48
Sat 14 Nov, 21:30 UTC · Serie A · this match
Mirassol v Atletico-MG
Corners Over 9.5 corners 71% -
2
1.28
Sun 15 Nov, 20:15 UTC · Peru Liga 1
Juan Pablo II v Deportivo Garcilaso
Corners Over 7.5 corners 75% -
3
1.36
Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Scotland Championship
Corners Over 7.5 corners 74% -
4
1.31
Sun 15 Nov, 15:15 UTC · Spain Segunda Division
Corners Over 7.5 corners 78% - 5 1.31
Where to bet it
Three bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 1 of 5 | 1 of 5 | 1 of 5 | 1 of 5 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Mirassol v Atletico-MGOver 9.5 corners | 1.48 | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1.50 | 1.51 | 1.50 | 1.51 |
| 2Juan Pablo II v Deportivo GarcilasoOver 7.5 corners | 1.28 | 1.18 | 1.18 | — | — | — | — |
| 3Ayr United v Raith Rovers FCOver 7.5 corners | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.34 | — | — | — | — |
| 4Granada CF v UD Las PalmasOver 7.5 corners | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.34 | — | — | — | — |
| 5Bristol Rovers v ChesterfieldOver 7.5 corners | 1.31 | 1.27 | 1.27 | — | — | — | — |
| Combined odds | 4.42 | 4.01 | 4.01 | — | — | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 5 legs combine at odds of 4.42 at Mostbet, with 74% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $44.20. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
EightfoldLong shot
70% avg confidence
View slip
EightfoldLong shot
-
1
1.50
Sat 14 Nov, 21:30 UTC · Serie A · this match
Mirassol v Atletico-MG
Corners Over 9.5 corners 71% -
2
1.54
Sat 14 Nov, 17:00 UTC · U19 Euro 2027 Qualification
Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 74% - 3 1.57
- 4 1.54
- 5 1.53
- 6 1.51
- 7 1.42
-
8
1.40
Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Scotland Championship
Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's Park
Corners Over 8.5 corners 76%
Where to bet it
Seven bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Mirassol v Atletico-MGOver 9.5 corners | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.51 | 1.49 | 1.48 | 1.51 | 1.49 |
| 2Portugal U19 v Germany U19Over 2.5 goals | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.54 |
| 3Queretaro v MonterreyOver 9.5 corners | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.58 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 1.59 | 1.56 |
| 4Haiti v USAOver 2.5 goals | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.48 | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.48 |
| 5Eldense v CE SabadellOver 8.5 corners | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.51 | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.51 |
| 6Spain v EnglandOver 8.5 corners | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.52 | 1.52 | 1.50 |
| 7France v TurkeyOver 8.5 corners | 1.42 | 1.42 | 1.35 | 1.47 | 1.37 | 1.35 | 1.41 |
| 8Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's ParkOver 8.5 corners | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.40 |
| Combined odds | 25.65 | 25.65 | 24.89 | 24.86 | 24.74 | 24.72 | 23.69 |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 8 legs combine at odds of 25.65 at BetFury, with 70% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $256.50. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
Editor score call
OpinionFull time call · Sat, Nov 14 · 21:30 UTC · Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Why 2-1
Atlético Mineiro have lost three league games in a row and travel without 11 players, one week before the Boca Juniors final. Mirassol score 1.2 goals a match in the data and need points to stay clear of the bottom four. Two of the three Série A meetings so far had four goals, and with the model leaning to over 2.5 goals, we expect three goals and a home win.
What backs the call
- ModelOver 2.5 goals59%
- MarketMirassol win47%
Our model does not predict exact scores. This call is the opinion of the corneredge.bet editorial team.
Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro prediction: what the model says
The model works from goals and corners numbers for each team. The match result is left to the betting market, which prices Mirassol at 2.11, the draw at 3.62 and Atlético Mineiro at 3.85.
Goals. Mirassol score 1.2 goals a match in the data and Atlético Mineiro 1.1. Over the season so far, Mirassol have 39 league goals in 34 games and Atlético Mineiro 44. The model still rates over 2.5 goals at 59%, best price 1.90 at Thunderpick: a lean, not a strong edge.
Corners. Mirassol take 5.3 corners a match and concede 5.7. Atlético Mineiro take 6.4 and concede 5.7. The model projects 11.6 corners in total, which puts over 7.5 corners at 83%, over 8.5 at 77% and over 9.5 at 71%.
What Mirassol and Atlético Mineiro need on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Mirassol win
Mirassol move to 43 points, six clear of Corinthians in 17th place, and climb to 11th for now. Corinthians and Grêmio, both on 37, play their round 35 games on Wednesday 18 November.
A draw
Mirassol go to 41 points, four above the bottom four. Atlético Mineiro reach 51, two behind Bahia in sixth and three behind fifth.
Atlético Mineiro win
Atlético Mineiro reach 53 points, level with Bahia, and go sixth on more wins (15 to 14) until Bahia play Grêmio on Wednesday. Mirassol stay on 40, three above the bottom four, with Corinthians, Grêmio, Vitória and Internacional still to play in round 35.
Can this game settle anything?
No. Even with a win, Mirassol would have three games left and Corinthians and Grêmio four, so the relegation fight stays open. Atlético Mineiro also have a second route to the 2027 Copa Libertadores: winning the Copa Sudamericana final against Boca Juniors on 21 November.
Twenty clubs play each other home and away over 38 rounds. The top four go to the 2027 Copa Libertadores group stage and fifth to its qualifying round, and more places can open up for the teams below when Brazilian clubs win the cups. Places in the Copa Sudamericana follow, and the bottom four drop to Série B. Teams level on points are split first by wins, then goal difference.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71-29 | +42 | 76 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51-43 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50-45 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 | Atlético MineiroThis match | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44-40 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 | Red Bull Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44-39 | +5 | 47 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43-50 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 | MirassolThis match | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39-48 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitória | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35-51 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38-42 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36-42 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 | Grêmio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38-47 | -9 | 37 |
- Top five: Copa Libertadores places
- Bottom four: down to Série B
Standings after round 34, checked on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026. This match opens round 35. Vasco da Gama play a delayed round 21 game at Chapecoense later on Saturday, and the other round 35 games are on 18 and 19 November.
Atlético Mineiro stop at Maião on the road to Barranquilla
This is the last game for Atlético Mineiro before the Copa Sudamericana final against Boca Juniors on 21 November, a single match at the Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez in Barranquilla, Colombia. The CBF moved this league game forward to Saturday, during the international break, because of that final. It is a second Sudamericana final in a row for Atlético Mineiro, a year after they lost the 2025 final to Lanús.
The league form under Eduardo Domínguez has dipped at the wrong time. Atlético Mineiro lost 3-2 at Flamengo, 1-0 at home to Cruzeiro and 1-0 at Botafogo, where a reserve side played before the Copa do Brasil semi final second leg. Grêmio then knocked them out of that cup with a 1-1 draw in Belo Horizonte on 7 November, after a 2-0 win in Porto Alegre. A win at Maião would still lift them into sixth place.
Mirassol are in only their second Série A season. They finished fourth in their debut year in 2025, then reached the last 16 of the Copa Libertadores this year and went out to LDU Quito on penalties on 20 August, after 1-1 at Maião and 0-0 in Quito. The league has been harder. Rafael Guanaes and his players are 14th, three points above the bottom four, after a 2-1 comeback win at Chapecoense on 3 November.
Mirassol have never beaten Atlético Mineiro in Série A, with two defeats and a 2-2 draw at Maião in April 2025. In the 3-1 defeat in Belo Horizonte on 16 May, Alan Minda and Maycon scored for Atlético Mineiro. Both are now injured, part of a list of 11 absent players that also includes the suspended Tomás Pérez.
Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro team news and predicted lineups
Mirassol
Head coach Rafael Guanaes
- Back
Edson Carioca returns from suspension, and Bruno Santos is available again after his ban was cut to one match
- Out
Previews list no injuries or suspensions
- Selection
Previews differ on two places: Lucas Oliveira or Willian Machado in central defence, and Shaylon or Edson Carioca in attack
- Form
Won 2-1 at Chapecoense on 3 November after a 2-0 defeat at Corinthians and a 1-1 draw at home to São Paulo
Mirassol predicted XI: Walter; Igor Formiga, João Victor, Lucas Oliveira, Reinaldo; Neto Moura, Denilson; Shaylon, Eduardo, Alesson; André Luis
Atlético Mineiro
Head coach Eduardo Domínguez
- Suspended
Tomás Pérez, after a third yellow card
- Out
Victor Hugo, Reinier, Thiago Borbas, Maycon, Alan Franco and Alan Minda (all injured); Lyanco (personal reasons)
- International duty
Vitão and Kauã Pascini with the Brazil under 20 squad, Ángelo Preciado with Ecuador
- Doubts
Fred, Ruan Tressoldi and Mateo Cassierra are back from injury; previews say Fred is not ready for 90 minutes
- Form
Three league defeats in a row (3-2 at Flamengo, 1-0 at home to Cruzeiro, 1-0 at Botafogo), then out of the Copa do Brasil to Grêmio in the semi final
- Likely starters
Most previews include Everson, Natanael, Léo Duarte, Ruan Tressoldi, Renan Lodi, Kevin Castaño, Igor Gomes, Bernard, Tomás Cuello and Mateo Cassierra
Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro head to head
Last 3 meetings
- n/a
Atlético Mineiro3-1Mirassol
Brasileirão Série A, Belo Horizonte - n/a
Atlético Mineiro1-0Mirassol
Brasileirão Série A, Belo Horizonte - n/a
Mirassol2-2Atlético Mineiro
Brasileirão Série A, Mirassol
Corner counts come from our match data where it exists. Older meetings show n/a.
Mirassol have never beaten Atlético Mineiro in Série A. Saturday is their fourth league meeting since Mirassol reached the top flight in 2025: Atlético Mineiro won two of the first three, and the other ended 2-2 at Maião in April 2025. Two of those three games had four goals.
Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro best bets for Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Best bet for goals
Over 2.5 goals: a visiting defence short of options
Atlético Mineiro travel without Lyanco, Vitão, Kauã Pascini and Ángelo Preciado, and Mirassol need points at home. The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59%, with 1.90 at Thunderpick the best price. The risk: Mirassol have 39 goals in 34 league games, and Atlético Mineiro did not score in two of their last three league matches.
Best bet for corners
Over 8.5 corners: a better price above the safest line
The model projects 11.6 corners, with Atlético Mineiro taking 6.4 a match and Mirassol 5.3. Mirassol are the favourites and need points, and Atlético Mineiro need a win to reach sixth place, so both sides have reasons to push. Over 8.5 corners rates 77% at 1.30. Over 7.5 is the safest line at 83%, but the price is short at 1.13.
Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro odds: best prices right now
What the market says
Best price per outcome across the sportsbooks we track. Implied chance is 1 divided by the odds, before the sportsbook margin.
Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro corners in one minute
Corner averages per match
Corners for, per match
Corners against, per match lower is better
Total match corners
Better in that row
Every corner line from 7.5 to 11.5, with the price at each sportsbook, is on the Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro corner prediction page.
Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro prediction FAQ
Who will win Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro?
The betting market makes Mirassol favourites at 2.11, a 47% implied chance, for Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, at Maião. The model does not price the match result; it backs over 7.5 corners at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. The editor score call is Mirassol 2-1 Atlético Mineiro.
What is the Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro score prediction?
Mirassol 2-1 Atlético Mineiro. It is an editor opinion, not model output, and it fits the model lean to over 2.5 goals.
What happens if Mirassol lose to Atlético Mineiro?
A defeat leaves Mirassol on 40 points, three above the bottom four, with Corinthians and Grêmio (37 each) and Vitória and Internacional (38 each) still to play in round 35 on 18 and 19 November. Mirassol then visit Fluminense on 22 November. A win on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, would put them six points clear of 17th place.
What was the score the last time Mirassol played Atlético Mineiro?
Atlético Mineiro won 3-1 at Arena MRV in Belo Horizonte on 16 May 2026, in round 16 of this Série A season. Alan Minda, Maycon and Cissé scored for Atlético Mineiro, and Willian Machado replied for Mirassol.
Who is missing for Mirassol and Atlético Mineiro?
Atlético Mineiro are without 11 players. Tomás Pérez is suspended; Victor Hugo, Reinier, Thiago Borbas, Maycon, Alan Franco and Alan Minda are injured; Lyanco is out for personal reasons; and Vitão, Kauã Pascini and Ángelo Preciado are on international duty. Previews list no injuries for Mirassol, and Edson Carioca is back from suspension.
When is the Copa Sudamericana final for Atlético Mineiro?
Atlético Mineiro play Boca Juniors in a single match final on 21 November 2026 at the Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez in Barranquilla, Colombia, one week after this game.
What time is Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro and where is it played?
Kickoff is 21:30 UTC on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, known as Maião, in Mirassol, São Paulo state. Savio Pereira Sampaio is the referee, and in Brazil the game is shown on Prime Video.
Live tracker: what changed before kickoff on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Prices, chances and slips on this page refresh automatically from our live feeds. Any change since publication is listed here with its time.
Affiliate links pay corneredge.bet a commission; rankings stay independent. Read the responsible gambling page for support tools and external help resources.