England Community Shield

Arsenal vs Manchester City Corner Prediction

Updated

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OVER 7.5 corners

Model projects 10.6 total corners (line 7.5, edge +3.1). Home team averages 7.2 corners for, away averages 6.8. League baseline: 10.0. Lean: OVER.

Confidence 77%
Fair odds 1.21
Best odds 1.39 · 22Bet
Value ×1.15

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Team comparison: corner stats

ARS Arsenal
VS
Manchester City MAN
6.6
Corners for, per match
7.4
4.0
Corners against Lower is better
3.5
10.6
Total match corners
10.9
4.8
First half corners
5.3
2.1
Avg goals for
2.8
58%
Over 2.5 goals Percentage
75%
Leader in row Follower

Other markets for this match

OVER 8.5 corners

71% · odds 1.70

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OVER 2.5 goals

71% · odds 1.32

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OVER 9.5 corners

65% · odds 2.16

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Both teams to score — Yes

62% · odds 1.31

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OVER 10.5 corners

59% · odds 2.77

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OVER 11.5 corners

53% · odds 3.50

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OVER 3.5 goals

53% · odds 2.02

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The match at a glance

  • Match: Arsenal vs Manchester City
  • Competition: England Community Shield
  • Date and kickoff: Sunday 16 August 2026, 15:00
  • Model pick: Over 7.5 corners at 1.39 (22Bet), 77% confidence, 10.6 corners projected
  • Arsenal average: 6.6 corners for, 4.0 against per match
  • Manchester City average: 7.4 corners for, 3.5 against per match

Frequently asked questions

What does the model say about corners in Arsenal vs Manchester City?
The corneredge.bet model picks over 7.5 corners at 77% confidence. The predicted total across the match is 10.6 corners. The strongest market price right now is 1.39 at 22Bet.
How do Arsenal and Manchester City compare on corners?
Across the last 12 matches, Arsenal produces 6.6 corners per game. Manchester City produces 7.4 corners across the last 12 fixtures. For corners conceded, Arsenal sits at 4.0 per match against 3.5 for Manchester City. The two sides are close on corner output.
Which sportsbook offers the best odds for over 7.5 corners in Arsenal vs Manchester City?
22Bet leads the market at 1.39 on the over 7.5 corner line. The price table on this page refreshes every minute and highlights the best of breed across the sportsbooks we track. All outbound sportsbook links are affiliate links.
Page last updated: . Predictions, odds and team stats refresh automatically. Sources: Fixture data and team statistics from API-Football. Odds from the sportsbooks we track. Methodology: see how the model works.
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