UEFA Nations League Europe

Italy vs Turkey Corner Prediction

Updated

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OVER 7.5 corners

Model projects 10.1 total corners (line 7.5, edge +2.6). The home side averages 5.9 corners in its home games, the away side 4.8 in its away games. League baseline: 10.0. Lean: OVER.

Confidence 70%
Fair odds 1.27
Best odds n/a
Value No market yet

Team comparison: corner stats

Italy
VS
Turkey
5.5
Corners for, per match
5.2
4.5
Corners against Lower is better
5.0
10.0
Total match corners
10.2
2.5
First half corners
2.4
1.0
Avg goals for
1.7
52%
Over 2.5 goals Percentage
55%
Leader in row Follower

Head to head: last 1 meeting

1

Total meetings

8.0

Avg corners

1 / 0 / 0

Home / Draw / Away

  • 28 Sep 2026 Turkey 1-4 Italy · UEFA Nations League 1-4 8 corners

Top picks & predictions: Italy vs Turkey

OVER 7.5 corners

70% · fair odds 1.27 · not priced yet

OVER 8.5 corners

64% · fair odds 1.45 · not priced yet

OVER 2.5 goals

58% · odds 1.78

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OVER 9.5 corners

58% · fair odds 1.74 · not priced yet

Both teams to score — Yes

54% · odds 1.78

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OVER 10.5 corners

52% · fair odds 2.23 · not priced yet

OVER 11.5 corners

46% · fair odds 3.02 · not priced yet

OVER 3.5 goals

40% · odds 2.92

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Match winner odds (1X2)

Italy to win

best odds 1.61

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Draw

best odds 4.60

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Turkey to win

best odds 5.50

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The match at a glance

  • Match: Italy vs Turkey
  • Competition: UEFA Nations League
  • Date and kickoff: Monday 5 October 2026, 18:45 UTC
  • Model pick: Over 7.5 corners at n/a, 70% confidence, 10.1 corners projected
  • Italy average: 5.5 corners for, 4.5 against per match
  • Turkey average: 5.2 corners for, 5.0 against per match
  • Head to head: 1 meeting, Italy won 1, Turkey won 0, drew 0, averaging 8.0 corners per match

Frequently asked questions

What does the model say about corners in Italy vs Turkey?
The corneredge.bet model picks over 7.5 corners at 70% confidence. The predicted total across the match is 10.1 corners.
What is the kickoff time for Italy vs Turkey?
Kickoff is 14:45 ET on Monday 5 October 2026. That is 19:45 in the United Kingdom and 20:45 in central Europe.
What are the corner averages for Italy and Turkey?
Across the last 10 matches, Italy produces 5.5 corners per game. Turkey produces 5.2 corners across the last 7 fixtures. For corners conceded, Italy sits at 4.5 per match against 5.0 for Turkey. The two sides are close on corner output.
How many times have Italy and Turkey faced each other?
The two sides have met once before. It ended in a Italy win. The fixtures averaged 8.0 corners between the two sides.
Page last updated: . Predictions, odds and team stats refresh automatically. Sources: Fixture data and team statistics from API-Football. Odds from the sportsbooks we track. Methodology: see how the model works.
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