UEFA Nations League Europe

Italy vs Turkey Corner Prediction

Updated 42 min to kickoff

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OVER 7.5 corners

Model projects 10.6 total corners (line 7.5, edge +3.1). The home side averages 5.9 corners in its home games, the away side 8.3 in its away games. League baseline: 10.0. Lean: OVER.

Confidence 72%
Fair odds 1.22
Best odds 1.25 · 22Bet
Value ×1.02

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Team comparison: corner stats

Italy
VS
Turkey
5.5
Corners for, per match
7.9
4.5
Corners against Lower is better
3.0
10.0
Total match corners
10.9
2.5
First half corners
2.4
1.0
Avg goals for
3.0
52%
Over 2.5 goals Percentage
63%
Leader in row Follower

Head to head: last 1 meeting

1

Total meetings

8.0

Avg corners

1 / 0 / 0

Home / Draw / Away

  • 28 Sep 2026 Türkiye 1-4 Italy · UEFA Nations League 1-4 8 corners

Top picks & predictions: Italy vs Turkey

OVER 7.5 corners

72% · odds 1.25

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OVER 8.5 corners

66% · odds 1.51

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1.48 Bet

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1.47 Bet

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1.46 Bet

OVER 9.5 corners

60% · odds 1.87

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1.85 Bet

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1.85 Bet

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1.85 Bet

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1.84 Bet

OVER 2.5 goals

58% · odds 1.58

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1.56 Bet

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1.55 Bet

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1.54 Bet

OVER 10.5 corners

54% · odds 2.40

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Both teams to score — Yes

54% · odds 1.81

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1.76 Bet

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OVER 11.5 corners

48% · odds 3.25

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OVER 3.5 goals

40% · odds 2.42

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Match winner odds (1X2)

Italy to win

best odds 1.46

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Draw

best odds 5.20

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Turkey to win

best odds 7.70

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6.60 Bet

Acca Builder: combine picks across different matches

This match has a strong model pick, so the prediction engine combined it with the strongest picks from other upcoming matches into ready to bet accumulators.

TrebleLower risk

3 legs · combined odds 2.13 · $10 returns $21.30

77% avg confidence
View slip
  1. 1

    Mon 5 Oct, 18:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match

    Italy v Türkiye

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 72%
    1.25
  2. 2

    Mon 5 Oct, 23:00 UTC · Uruguay Primera Division

    Nacional Montevideo v Montevideo City Torque

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 80%
    1.32
  3. 3

    Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 UTC · League One

    Milton Keynes Dons v Reading

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 79%
    1.29
$
Returns $21.30
Profit $11.30
Back this acca at Thunderpick

All 3 legs combine at odds of 2.13 at Thunderpick, with 77% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $21.30. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.

FivefoldBalanced

5 legs · combined odds 4.75 · $10 returns $47.50

78% avg confidence
View slip
  1. 1

    Mon 5 Oct, 18:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match

    Italy v Türkiye

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 72%
    1.25
  2. 2

    Tue 6 Oct, 17:00 UTC · U21 Euro 2027 Qualification

    Luxembourg U21 v Estonia U21

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 86%
    1.36
  3. 3

    Sun 11 Oct, 11:30 UTC · Jupiler League

    Standard Liege v Sporting Charleroi

    Corners Over 8.5 corners 78%
    1.41
  4. 4

    Sat 10 Oct, 16:15 UTC · Jupiler League

    RAAL La Louviere v Club Brugge KV

    Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 78%
    1.48
  5. 5

    Mon 5 Oct, 22:00 UTC · Paraguay Primera Division

    Cerro Porteno v 2 de Mayo

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 76%
    1.34
$
Returns $47.50
Profit $37.50
Back this acca at Thunderpick

All 5 legs combine at odds of 4.75 at Thunderpick, with 78% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $47.50. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.

EightfoldLong shot

8 legs · combined odds 24.64 · $10 returns $246.40

76% avg confidence
View slip
  1. 1

    Mon 5 Oct, 18:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match

    Italy v Türkiye

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 72%
    1.25
  2. 2

    Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 UTC · Bundesliga

    Union Berlin v SV Elversberg

    Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 82%
    1.54
  3. 3

    Sat 10 Oct, 17:30 UTC · Serie B

    Arezzo v Cremonese

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 79%
    1.57
  4. 4

    Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 UTC · League One

    Stevenage FC v Wigan Athletic

    Corners Over 8.5 corners 77%
    1.51
  5. 5

    Wed 7 Oct, 22:30 UTC · Serie A

    Internacional v Corinthians

    Corners Over 8.5 corners 76%
    1.50
  6. 6

    Sun 11 Oct, 20:00 UTC · Liga Profesional

    Talleres Cordoba v Independiente

    Corners Over 8.5 corners 75%
    1.50
  7. 7

    Sun 11 Oct, 20:00 UTC · Liga Profesional

    Rosario Central v Independiente Rivadavia

    Corners Over 8.5 corners 75%
    1.50
  8. 8

    Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 UTC · Denmark Superliga

    FC Midtjylland v FC Copenhagen

    Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 74%
    1.60
$
Returns $246.40
Profit $236.40
Back this acca at Thunderpick

All 8 legs combine at odds of 24.64 at Thunderpick, with 76% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $246.40. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.

More UEFA Nations League picks & predictions

The match at a glance

  • Match: Italy vs Turkey
  • Competition: UEFA Nations League
  • Date and kickoff: Monday 5 October 2026, 18:45 UTC
  • Model pick: Over 7.5 corners at 1.25 (22Bet), 72% confidence, 10.6 corners projected
  • Italy average: 5.5 corners for, 4.5 against per match
  • Turkey average: 7.9 corners for, 3.0 against per match
  • Head to head: 1 meeting, Italy won 1, Turkey won 0, drew 0, averaging 8.0 corners per match

Frequently asked questions

What does the model say about corners in Italy vs Turkey?
The corneredge.bet model picks over 7.5 corners at 72% confidence. The predicted total across the match is 10.6 corners. The strongest market price right now is 1.25 at 22Bet.
What is the kickoff time for Italy vs Turkey?
Kickoff is 14:45 ET on Monday 5 October 2026. That is 19:45 in the United Kingdom and 20:45 in central Europe.
What are the corner averages for Italy and Turkey?
Across the last 10 matches, Italy produces 5.5 corners per game. Turkey produces 7.9 corners across the last 8 fixtures. For corners conceded, Italy sits at 4.5 per match against 3.0 for Turkey. The corner battle tilts toward Turkey.
How many times have Italy and Turkey faced each other?
The two sides have met once before. It ended in a Italy win. The fixtures averaged 8.0 corners between the two sides.
What is the strongest market price on over 7.5 corners for this match?
22Bet leads the market at 1.25 on the over 7.5 corner line. The price table on this page refreshes every minute and highlights the best of breed across the sportsbooks we track. All outbound sportsbook links are affiliate links.
Page last updated: . Predictions, odds and team stats refresh automatically. Sources: Fixture data and team statistics from API-Football. Odds from the sportsbooks we track. Methodology: see how the model works.
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