World Cup 2026 World

Mexico vs Ecuador Corner Prediction

Updated

Kickoff: · Estadio Banorte

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OVER 7.5 corners

Model projects 10.9 total corners, 3.3 above the 7.5 line. Home team averages 9.0 corners for, away averages 5.0. League baseline: 10.0. Lean: OVER.

Confidence 60%
Fair odds 1.19
Best odds 1.85 · Thunderpick
Value ×1.55

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Team comparison: corner stats

Mexico
VS
Ecuador
4.1
Corners for, per match
4.6
3.2
Corners against Lower is better
5.0
7.3
Total match corners
9.6
2.4
First half corners
2.1
2.0
Avg goals for
0.5
40%
Over 2.5 goals Percentage
45%
Leader in row Follower

Top picks & predictions: Mexico vs Ecuador

OVER 7.5 corners

60% · odds 1.85

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1.85 Bet

OVER 8.5 corners

54% · odds 2.47

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2.47 Bet

OVER 9.5 corners

48% · odds 1.70

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1.70 Bet

OVER 2.5 goals

44% · odds 1.38

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1.38 Bet

Both teams to score — Yes

43% · odds 2.39

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2.39 Bet

OVER 10.5 corners

42% · odds 2.53

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2.53 Bet

Both teams to score — No

42% · odds 1.58

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1.58 Bet

OVER 11.5 corners

36% · odds 8.10

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8.10 Bet

OVER 3.5 goals

26% · odds 2.80

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2.80 Bet

Match winner odds (1X2)

Mexico to win

best odds 1.04

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1.04 Bet

Draw

best odds 16.16

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16.16 Bet

Ecuador to win

best odds 52.15

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52.15 Bet

The match at a glance

  • Match: Mexico vs Ecuador
  • Competition: World Cup 2026
  • Date and kickoff: Wednesday 1 July 2026, 01:00 UTC
  • Venue: Estadio Banorte
  • Recommended bet: Over 7.5 corners at 1.85 (Thunderpick), 60% confidence, 10.8 corners projected
  • Mexico average: 4.1 corners for, 3.2 against per match
  • Ecuador average: 4.6 corners for, 5.0 against per match

Frequently asked questions

What does the model say about corners in Mexico vs Ecuador?
The corneredge.bet model picks over 7.5 corners at 60% confidence. The predicted total across the match is 10.9 corners. The strongest market price right now is 1.85 at Thunderpick.
What is the venue for Mexico vs Ecuador?
The match is played at Estadio Banorte in World. The fixture is part of the World Cup 2026.
How do Mexico and Ecuador compare on corners?
Across the last 10 matches, Mexico produces 4.1 corners per game. Ecuador produces 4.6 corners across the last 8 fixtures. For corners conceded, Mexico sits at 3.2 per match against 5.0 for Ecuador. The two sides are close on corner output.
How many times have Mexico and Ecuador faced each other?
The two sides have met once before. It ended in a Mexico win. The fixtures averaged 11.0 corners between the two sides.
Which sportsbook offers the best odds for over 7.5 corners in Mexico vs Ecuador?
Thunderpick leads the market at 1.85 on the over 7.5 corner line. The price table on this page refreshes every minute and highlights the best of breed across the sportsbooks we track. All outbound sportsbook links are affiliate links.
Page last updated: . Predictions, odds and team stats refresh automatically. Sources: Fixture data and team statistics from API-Football. Odds from the sportsbooks we track. Methodology: see how the model works.
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