World Cup 2026 World

Mexico vs Ecuador Corner Prediction

Updated

Kickoff: · Estadio Banorte

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OVER 7.5 corners

Model projects 10.9 total corners (line 7.5, edge +3.3). Home team averages 9.0 corners for, away averages 5.0. League baseline: 10.0. Lean: OVER.

Confidence 60%
Fair odds 1.19
Best odds 1.85 · Thunderpick
Value ×1.55

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Team comparison: corner stats

Mexico
VS
Ecuador
5.4
Corners for, per match
4.6
4.8
Corners against Lower is better
5.0
10.2
Total match corners
9.6
2.4
First half corners
2.1
2.0
Avg goals for
0.5
50%
Over 2.5 goals Percentage
45%
Leader in row Follower

Other markets for this match

OVER 8.5 corners

54% · odds 2.47

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OVER 9.5 corners

48% · odds 1.70

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OVER 2.5 goals

44% · odds 1.38

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Both teams to score — Yes

43% · odds 2.39

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OVER 10.5 corners

42% · odds 2.53

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Both teams to score — No

42% · odds 1.58

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OVER 11.5 corners

36% · odds 8.10

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OVER 3.5 goals

26% · odds 2.80

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The match at a glance

  • Match: Mexico vs Ecuador
  • Competition: World Cup 2026
  • Date and kickoff: Wednesday 1 July 2026, 01:00
  • Venue: Estadio Banorte
  • Model pick: Over 7.5 corners at 1.85 (Thunderpick), 60% confidence, 10.8 corners projected
  • Mexico average: 5.4 corners for, 4.8 against per match
  • Ecuador average: 4.6 corners for, 5.0 against per match

Frequently asked questions

What does the model say about corners in Mexico vs Ecuador?
The corneredge.bet model picks over 7.5 corners at 60% confidence. The predicted total across the match is 10.9 corners. The strongest market price right now is 1.85 at Thunderpick.
What is the venue for Mexico vs Ecuador?
The match is played at Estadio Banorte in World. The fixture is part of the World Cup 2026.
How do Mexico and Ecuador compare on corners?
Across the last 5 matches, Mexico produces 5.4 corners per game. Ecuador produces 4.6 corners across the last 4 fixtures. For corners conceded, Mexico sits at 4.8 per match against 5.0 for Ecuador. The two sides are close on corner output.
How many times have Mexico and Ecuador faced each other?
The two sides have met once before. It ended in a Mexico win. The fixtures averaged 11.0 corners between the two sides.
Which sportsbook offers the best odds for over 7.5 corners in Mexico vs Ecuador?
Thunderpick leads the market at 1.85 on the over 7.5 corner line. The price table on this page refreshes every minute and highlights the best of breed across the sportsbooks we track. All outbound sportsbook links are affiliate links.
Page last updated: . Predictions, odds and team stats refresh automatically. Sources: Fixture data and team statistics from API-Football. Odds from the sportsbooks we track. Methodology: see how the model works.
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