Friendlies World

USA vs Mexico Corner Prediction

Updated

Kickoff: · State Farm Stadium

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OVER 7.5 corners

Model projects 10.0 total corners (line 7.5, edge +2.5). Home team averages 5.0 corners for, away averages 5.0. League baseline: 10.0. Lean: OVER.

Confidence 69%
Fair odds 1.29
Best odds n/a
Value No market yet

Team comparison: corner stats

USA
VS
Mexico
5.0
Corners for, per match
5.4
5.2
Corners against Lower is better
4.8
10.2
Total match corners
10.2
2.3
First half corners
2.4
2.2
Avg goals for
2.0
50%
Over 2.5 goals Percentage
50%
Leader in row Follower

Head to head: last 4 meetings Verified historical

4

Total meetings

n/a

Avg corners

4 / 0 / 0

Home / Draw / Away

  • 15 Jun 2023 Mexico 0-3 USA · Nations League semi final 0-3 n/a
  • 12 Nov 2021 Mexico 0-2 USA · World Cup qualifier 0-2 n/a
  • 12 Sep 2021 USA 2-0 Mexico · World Cup qualifier 2-0 n/a
  • 1 Aug 2021 USA 1-0 Mexico · Gold Cup final 1-0 n/a

Top picks & predictions: USA vs Mexico

OVER 7.5 corners

69% · odds 1.29

OVER 2.5 goals

65% · odds 1.39

OVER 8.5 corners

63% · odds 1.47

Both teams to score — Yes

60% · odds 1.59

OVER 9.5 corners

57% · odds 1.78

OVER 10.5 corners

51% · odds 2.28

OVER 3.5 goals

47% · odds 2.74

OVER 11.5 corners

45% · odds 3.12

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The match at a glance

  • Match: USA vs Mexico
  • Competition: Friendlies
  • Date and kickoff: Sunday 4 October 2026, 02:00 UTC
  • Venue: State Farm Stadium
  • Model pick: Over 7.5 corners at n/a, 69% confidence, 10.0 corners projected
  • USA average: 5.0 corners for, 5.2 against per match
  • Mexico average: 5.4 corners for, 4.8 against per match
  • Head to head: 4 meetings, USA won 4, Mexico won 0, drew 0

Frequently asked questions

What is the corner prediction for USA vs Mexico?
The corneredge.bet model picks over 7.5 corners at 69% confidence. The predicted total across the match is 10.0 corners.
What is the kickoff time for USA vs Mexico?
Kickoff is 22:00 ET in New York on Saturday 3 October 2026. That is 03:00 in the United Kingdom and 04:00 in central Europe, both on Sunday 4 October 2026.
Where is the USA vs Mexico match played?
The match is played at State Farm Stadium in World. The fixture is part of the Friendlies.
How do USA and Mexico compare on corners?
Across the last 5 matches, USA produces 5.0 corners per game. Mexico produces 5.4 corners across the last 5 fixtures. For corners conceded, USA sits at 5.2 per match against 4.8 for Mexico. The two sides are close on corner output.
Page last updated: . Predictions, odds and team stats refresh automatically. Sources: Fixture data and team statistics from API-Football. Odds from the sportsbooks we track. Methodology: see how the model works.
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