UEFA Nations League Europe

Turkey vs Italy Corner Prediction

Updated

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OVER 7.5 corners

Model projects 10.1 total corners (line 7.5, edge +2.6). The home side averages 5.6 corners in its home games, the away side 5.0 in its away games. League baseline: 10.0. Lean: OVER.

Confidence 70%
Fair odds 1.27
Best odds 1.37 · 22Bet
Value ×1.08

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Team comparison: corner stats

Turkey
VS
Italy
7.9
Corners for, per match
5.5
3.0
Corners against Lower is better
4.5
10.9
Total match corners
10.0
2.4
First half corners
2.5
3.0
Avg goals for
1.0
63%
Over 2.5 goals Percentage
52%
Leader in row Follower

Top picks & predictions: Turkey vs Italy

OVER 7.5 corners

70% · odds 2.63

Bet
BEST

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2.63 Bet

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1.37 Bet

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1.30 Bet

OVER 8.5 corners

64% · odds 2.89

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2.89 Bet

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1.65 Bet

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1.62 Bet

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1.61 Bet

OVER 2.5 goals

58% · odds 1.74

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1.74 Bet

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1.65 Bet

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1.36 Bet

OVER 9.5 corners

58% · odds 2.22

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2.22 Bet

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2.04 Bet

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2.03 Bet

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2.01 Bet

Both teams to score — Yes

54% · odds 1.69

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BEST

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1.69 Bet

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1.57 Bet

OVER 10.5 corners

52% · odds 2.95

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2.95 Bet

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2.75 Bet

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2.69 Bet

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2.65 Bet

OVER 11.5 corners

46% · odds 3.77

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BEST

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3.77 Bet

OVER 3.5 goals

40% · odds 2.78

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2.78 Bet

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1.14 Bet

Match winner odds (1X2)

Turkey to win

best odds 100.00

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2.75 Bet

Draw

best odds 100.00

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3.42 Bet

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3.42 Bet

Italy to win

best odds 2.59

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2.59 Bet

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2.48 Bet

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1.01 Bet

Acca Builder: combine picks across different matches

This match has a strong model pick, so the prediction engine combined it with the strongest picks from other upcoming matches into ready to bet accumulators.

TrebleLower riskClosed

3 legs · combined odds 2.14 · $10 returns $21.40

75% avg confidence
View slip
  1. 1

    Mon 28 Sep, 18:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match

    Turkey v Italy

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 70%
    1.37
  2. 2

    Sat 3 Oct, 14:00 UTC · League Two

    Grimsby Town v Shrewsbury Town

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 78%
    1.26
  3. 3

    Sat 3 Oct, 14:00 UTC · League One

    Reading v Bradford City

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 78%
    1.24
$
Returns $21.40
Profit $11.40
Betting closed

This match has kicked off, so this accumulator can no longer be placed. It stays here for reference only.

All 3 legs combine at odds of 2.14 at Thunderpick, with 75% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $21.40. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.

FivefoldBalancedClosed

5 legs · combined odds 4.97 · $10 returns $49.70

76% avg confidence
View slip
  1. 1

    Mon 28 Sep, 18:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match

    Turkey v Italy

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 70%
    1.37
  2. 2

    Fri 2 Oct, 16:00 UTC · UEFA Nations League

    Cyprus v Armenia

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 79%
    1.41
  3. 3

    Fri 2 Oct, 14:00 UTC · UEFA Nations League

    Kazakhstan v Moldova

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 77%
    1.36
  4. 4

    Thu 1 Oct, 18:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League

    Germany v Serbia

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 77%
    1.36
  5. 5

    Fri 2 Oct, 18:45 UTC · U17 Euro 2026 Qualification

    England U18 v Slovakia U18

    Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 76%
    1.39
$
Returns $49.70
Profit $39.70
Betting closed

This match has kicked off, so this accumulator can no longer be placed. It stays here for reference only.

All 5 legs combine at odds of 4.97 at Thunderpick, with 76% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $49.70. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.

EightfoldLong shotClosed

8 legs · combined odds 25.13 · $10 returns $251.30

69% avg confidence
View slip
  1. 1

    Mon 28 Sep, 18:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match

    Turkey v Italy

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 70%
    1.37
  2. 2

    Tue 29 Sep, 09:00 UTC · ASEAN Cup

    Philippines v Pakistan

    Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 79%
    1.57
  3. 3

    Mon 28 Sep, 22:00 UTC · Paraguay Primera Division

    Club Libertad Asuncion v Olimpia Asuncion

    Corners Over 8.5 corners 70%
    1.47
  4. 4

    Sun 4 Oct, 19:00 UTC · Colombia Primera A

    Deportivo Pasto v Fortaleza CEIF

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 69%
    1.54
  5. 5

    Wed 30 Sep, 23:00 UTC · USL Championship

    Miami FC v Sporting Jax

    Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 68%
    1.47
  6. 6

    Sun 4 Oct, 13:00 UTC · Uruguay Primera Division

    Danubio FC v Cerro Largo

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 68%
    1.52
  7. 7

    Mon 28 Sep, 19:30 UTC · Paraguay Primera Division

    San Lorenzo v Deportivo Recoleta

    Corners Over 8.5 corners 67%
    1.55
  8. 8

    Tue 29 Sep, 02:00 UTC · CONCACAF Nations League

    Guatemala v El Salvador

    Corners Over 7.5 corners 66%
    1.49
$
Returns $251.30
Profit $241.30
Betting closed

This match has kicked off, so this accumulator can no longer be placed. It stays here for reference only.

All 8 legs combine at odds of 25.13 at Thunderpick, with 69% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $251.30. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.

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Italy vs Türkiye

The match at a glance

  • Match: Turkey vs Italy
  • Competition: UEFA Nations League
  • Date and kickoff: Monday 28 September 2026, 18:45 UTC
  • Model pick: Over 7.5 corners at 1.37 (22Bet), 70% confidence, 10.1 corners projected
  • Turkey average: 7.9 corners for, 3.0 against per match
  • Italy average: 5.5 corners for, 4.5 against per match

Frequently asked questions

What does the model say about corners in Turkey vs Italy?
The corneredge.bet model picks over 7.5 corners at 70% confidence. The predicted total across the match is 10.1 corners. The strongest market price right now is 1.37 at 22Bet.
Which team produces more corners, Turkey or Italy?
Across the last 8 matches, Turkey produces 7.9 corners per game. Italy produces 5.5 corners across the last 10 fixtures. For corners conceded, Turkey sits at 3.0 per match against 4.5 for Italy. The corner battle tilts toward Turkey.
How many times have Turkey and Italy faced each other?
The two sides have met once before. It ended in an Italy win. The fixtures averaged 8.0 corners between the two sides.
Which sportsbook offers the best odds for over 7.5 corners in Turkey vs Italy?
22Bet leads the market at 1.37 on the over 7.5 corner line. The price table on this page refreshes every minute and highlights the best of breed across the sportsbooks we track. All outbound sportsbook links are affiliate links.
Page last updated: . Predictions, odds and team stats refresh automatically. Sources: Fixture data and team statistics from API-Football. Odds from the sportsbooks we track. Methodology: see how the model works.
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