Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama prediction
Vasco da Gama are clear favourites in Chapecó against a Chapecoense side that is already relegated. The corneredge.bet model rates over 7.5 corners at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 65%, and the betting market makes Vasco da Gama 69% favourites at 1.44. A win would put Vasco da Gama seven points clear of 17th place with four games left. They are without four injured players, among them midfielders Thiago Mendes and Santiago Sosa, who were both hurt this week. Editor score call: Chapecoense 1-2 Vasco da Gama.
Match facts
- Match
- Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama
- Competition
- Brasileirão Série A 2026
- Round
- Round 21 of 38, moved to this date
- Date
- Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
- Kickoff
- 23:30 UTC
- Venue
- Arena Condá, Chapecó
- Referee
- Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima (Pernambuco)
- At stake
- A Vasco da Gama win means seven points clear of 17th place
- Last meeting
- Vasco da Gama 1-1 Chapecoense, 5 February 2026
- Missing
- Vasco da Gama: Thiago Mendes, Sosa, Tchê Tchê, Nuno Moreira (all injured)
Model verdict for Saturday, Nov 14 2026
The model leans hardest on corners, then on goals, while the market backs Vasco da Gama to win.
Over 7.5 corners
Bet
Over 7.5 corners
Over 8.5 corners
Bet
Over 8.5 corners
Over 2.5 goals
Bet
Over 2.5 goals
Market view, best prices: Chapecoense 7.20 (14% implied), draw 4.83, Vasco da Gama 1.44 (69% implied).
Acca bets with Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama
TrebleLower risk
77% avg confidence
View slip
TrebleLower risk
-
1
1.24
Sat 14 Nov, 23:30 UTC · Serie A · this match
Chapecoense-sc v Vasco DA Gama
Corners Over 7.5 corners 75% - 2 1.61
- 3 1.27
Where to bet it
Three bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 1 of 3 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Chapecoense-sc v Vasco DA GamaOver 7.5 corners | 1.24 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.24 |
| 2Ucv Moquegua v Atletico GrauOver 8.5 corners | 1.61 | 1.66 | 1.66 | — |
| 3Coritiba v SantosOver 8.5 corners | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.25 | — |
| Combined odds | 2.54 | 2.43 | 2.43 | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 3 legs combine at odds of 2.54 at Roobet, with 77% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $25.40. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
FivefoldBalanced
71% avg confidence
View slip
FivefoldBalanced
-
1
1.42
Sat 14 Nov, 23:30 UTC · Serie A · this match
Chapecoense-sc v Vasco DA Gama
Corners Over 8.5 corners 69% -
2
1.40
Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Scotland Championship
Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's Park
Corners Over 8.5 corners 76% - 3 1.33
-
4
1.60
Sun 15 Nov, 15:15 UTC · Spain Segunda Division
Corners Over 8.5 corners 72% - 5 1.67
Where to bet it
Seven bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Chapecoense-sc v Vasco DA GamaOver 8.5 corners | 1.42 | 1.42 | 1.41 | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.34 | 1.34 |
| 2Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's ParkOver 8.5 corners | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| 3France v TurkeyOver 2.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.32 | 1.33 | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.34 | 1.34 |
| 4Granada CF v UD Las PalmasOver 8.5 corners | 1.60 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.62 | 1.62 |
| 5Northern Ireland v UkraineOver 7.5 corners | 1.67 | 1.66 | 1.66 | 1.62 | 1.62 | 1.60 | 1.59 |
| Combined odds | 7.06 | 6.94 | 6.94 | 6.85 | 6.85 | 6.52 | 6.48 |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 5 legs combine at odds of 7.06 at Mostbet, with 71% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $70.60. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
EightfoldLong shot
70% avg confidence
View slip
EightfoldLong shot
-
1
1.64
Sat 14 Nov, 23:30 UTC · Serie A · this match
Chapecoense-sc v Vasco DA Gama
Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 65% - 2 1.43
-
3
1.54
Sat 14 Nov, 17:00 UTC · U19 Euro 2027 Qualification
Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 74% - 4 1.50
- 5 1.53
- 6 1.54
- 7 1.43
- 8 1.51
Where to bet it
Seven bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Chapecoense-sc v Vasco DA GamaOver 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.63 | 1.65 | 1.64 | 1.64 | 1.64 | 1.64 |
| 2AFC Wimbledon v BlackpoolOver 9.5 corners | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| 3Portugal U19 v Germany U19Over 2.5 goals | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.54 | 1.54 |
| 4Mirassol v Atletico-MGOver 9.5 corners | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.48 | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.49 | 1.49 |
| 5Eldense v CE SabadellOver 8.5 corners | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.51 | 1.51 |
| 6Haiti v USAOver 2.5 goals | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.48 | 1.48 |
| 7Romania v PolandOver 7.5 corners | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.39 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.39 | 1.39 |
| 8Spain v EnglandOver 8.5 corners | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.52 | 1.51 | 1.52 | 1.51 | 1.50 |
| Combined odds | 27.56 | 27.39 | 27.12 | 26.22 | 25.88 | 25.42 | 25.25 |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 8 legs combine at odds of 27.56 at BetFury, with 70% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $275.60. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
Editor score call
OpinionFull time call · Sat, Nov 14 · 23:30 UTC · Arena Condá
Why 1-2
Chapecoense have let in 68 goals in 33 league games, and 80% of their recent games in the data went over 2.5 goals. Vasco da Gama average 1.6 goals a match and need the points, but they miss four injured players and only drew 1-1 with Chapecoense in February. With the model leaning to over 2.5 goals, we expect three goals and a narrow Vasco da Gama win.
What backs the call
- ModelOver 2.5 goals65%
- MarketVasco da Gama win69%
Our model does not predict exact scores. This call is the opinion of the corneredge.bet editorial team.
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama prediction: what the model says
The model works from goals and corners data for each team and leaves the result to the betting market. The market prices Vasco da Gama at 1.44, the draw at 4.83 and Chapecoense at 7.20.
Goals. Chapecoense score 0.9 goals a match in the data, and 80% of their recent games went over 2.5 goals. Across the season they have conceded 68 goals in 33 league games, more than any other club. Vasco da Gama average 1.6. The model rates over 2.5 goals at 65%, best price 1.65 at Mostbet.
Corners. Chapecoense take 4.2 corners a match and concede 5.4. Vasco da Gama take 5.4 and concede 5.5. The model projects 10.4 corners in total, which puts over 7.5 corners at 75%, over 8.5 at 69% and over 9.5 at 63%.
What Chapecoense and Vasco da Gama need on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Vasco da Gama win
Vasco da Gama reach 44 points and climb to at least 11th, level on points with São Paulo. They go seven points clear of Corinthians and Grêmio, who sit 17th and 18th on 37, with four games left, and three points behind Red Bull Bragantino and Santos.
A draw
Vasco da Gama move to 42 points, five clear of 17th place with four games left. Chapecoense reach 22 points and stay bottom.
Chapecoense win
Vasco da Gama stay on 41 points, four clear of 17th place, and drop to 14th if Mirassol beat Atlético Mineiro earlier in the day. Chapecoense reach 24 points but stay bottom.
Can Chapecoense still stay up?
No. Chapecoense have 21 points with five games left, so 36 is the most they can reach. Sixteen clubs already have 38 points or more, so Chapecoense cannot finish higher than 17th, and the bottom four go down.
Twenty clubs play each other home and away over 38 rounds, and the club with the most points wins the title. The bottom four go down to Série B, and the top five earn places in the 2027 Copa Libertadores, a number that can grow when Brazilian clubs win the cups.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71-29 | +42 | 76 |
| 10 | São Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39-39 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46-53 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40-51 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco da GamaThis match | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43-50 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39-48 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitória | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35-51 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38-42 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36-42 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 | Grêmio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38-47 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37-57 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 | ChapecoenseThis match | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33-68 | -35 | 21 |
- Top five: Copa Libertadores places
- Bottom four: down to Série B
Official table before this game. Chapecoense and Vasco da Gama have played 33 games and the other clubs 34, because this game was moved from round 21. Mirassol host Atlético Mineiro at 21:30 UTC on the same day, two hours before this kickoff.
Chapecoense play for pride, Vasco da Gama for safety
Chapecoense came up from Série B for 2026 and opened the season with a 4-2 home win over Santos on 28 January. Little went right after that. They have won four of 33 league games, have the worst defence in the league and are already relegated, bottom on 21 points. In the last ten league games they won two, drew one and lost seven.
The bench has changed again. Rafael Lacerda left this month to join Vitória, who are fighting to stay up, so Rodrigo Chipp, 39, takes charge as interim coach, with set piece coach Ricardo Chuva as his assistant. Reports link Vinícius Bergantin with the permanent job. Forward Yannick Bolasie also left the club this week.
Vasco da Gama arrive with only the league left to play for. They beat Palmeiras 2-1 at São Januário on 8 November, but that only levelled the Copa do Brasil semi final after a 1-0 defeat in the first leg, and Palmeiras went through on penalties. In October they also went out of the Copa Sudamericana against Boca Juniors. League form is better under Pedro Emanuel: six wins in the last ten games, the latest a 3-1 win at Athletico Paranaense on 4 November.
The first meeting this season is a warning for the favourites. At São Januário on 5 February, Vasco da Gama had most of the play and led through Puma Rodríguez after the break, but Jean Carlos levelled for Chapecoense with a free kick from long range at the very end. Neither coach from that night is still in charge.
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama team news and predicted lineups
Chapecoense
Coach Rodrigo Chipp, interim coach after Rafael Lacerda left for Vitória
- Gone
Yannick Bolasie, who left the club this week
- Form
Two wins, one draw and seven defeats in the last ten league games
- Season
Already relegated: 4 wins in 33 league games and 68 goals conceded, the most in the league
Chapecoense predicted XI: Gabriel Werner; Heitor, Victor Caetano, Kauan Faria, Bruno Pacheco; Camilo, David, Yago Felipe, Giovanni Augusto; Borrero, Túlio Eduardo
Vasco da Gama
Head coach Pedro Emanuel
- Out
Thiago Mendes, Santiago Sosa, Tchê Tchê and Nuno Moreira, all injured; Sosa and Thiago Mendes were hurt this week
- Selection
Previews differ at right back: Puma Rodríguez or Paulo Henrique
- Form
Six wins, one draw and three defeats in the last ten league games
Vasco da Gama predicted XI: Léo Jardim; Puma Rodríguez, Saldivia, Robert Renan, Cuiabano; Jair, Ramon Rique, Lescano; Andrés Gómez, Bruno Duarte, Colidio
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama head to head
Last 6 meetings
- n/a
Vasco da Gama1-1Chapecoense
Brasileirão Série A, Rio de Janeiro - n/a
Vasco da Gama0-0Chapecoense
Série B, Rio de Janeiro - n/a
Chapecoense0-0Vasco da Gama
Série B, Chapecó - n/a
Vasco da Gama1-1Chapecoense
Brasileirão Série A, Rio de Janeiro - n/a
Chapecoense1-2Vasco da Gama
Brasileirão Série A, Chapecó - n/a
Vasco da Gama3-1Chapecoense
Brasileirão Série A, Rio de Janeiro
Corner counts come from our match data where it exists. Older meetings show n/a.
In official matches, Chapecoense and Vasco da Gama have met 11 times: two wins each and seven draws. The last four meetings all ended level, two of them 0-0 in Série B in 2022. Vasco da Gama have won once in five league visits to Chapecó, 2-1 in September 2019.
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama best bets for Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Best bet for goals
Over 2.5 goals: the Chapecoense defence keeps leaking
Chapecoense have conceded 68 goals in 33 league games, and 80% of their recent games in the data went over 2.5 goals. Vasco da Gama average 1.6 goals a match and still need points. The model rates over 2.5 goals at 65%, with 1.65 at Mostbet the best price. The risk is a slow game: two of the last four meetings ended 0-0.
Best bet for corners
Over 8.5 corners: a fairer price than the 7.5 line
The model projects 10.4 corners. Vasco da Gama take 5.4 corners a match and Chapecoense concede 5.4, and the favourites should see plenty of the ball. Over 8.5 corners is rated at 69%, best price 1.43 at Roobet. Over 7.5 corners is the safer line at 75%, but it pays only 1.24.
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama odds: best prices right now
What the market says
Best price per outcome across the sportsbooks we track. Implied chance is 1 divided by the odds, before the sportsbook margin.
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama corners in one minute
Corner averages per match
Corners for, per match
Corners against, per match lower is better
Total match corners
Better in that row
Every corner line from 7.5 to 11.5, with prices by sportsbook, is on the Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama corner prediction page.
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama prediction FAQ
Who will win Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama?
The betting market makes Vasco da Gama favourites at 1.44, a 69% implied chance, for Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, in Chapecó. The model does not price the match result; it backs over 7.5 corners at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 65%. The editor score call is Chapecoense 1-2 Vasco da Gama.
What is the Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama score prediction?
Chapecoense 1-2 Vasco da Gama. It is an editor opinion, not model output, and it fits the model lean to over 2.5 goals.
What is at stake for Vasco da Gama?
Nothing changes for Chapecoense, who are already relegated. A Vasco da Gama win on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, lifts them to 44 points, seven clear of 17th place with four games left. A draw leaves them five clear, and a defeat four clear.
What was the score the last time Chapecoense played Vasco da Gama?
Vasco da Gama 1-1 Chapecoense at São Januário on 5 February 2026, in round 2 of this season. Puma Rodríguez scored for Vasco da Gama, and Jean Carlos levelled with a late free kick.
Who is missing for Chapecoense and Vasco da Gama?
Vasco da Gama are without Thiago Mendes, Santiago Sosa, Tchê Tchê and Nuno Moreira, who are all injured. Chapecoense have an interim coach, Rodrigo Chipp, after Rafael Lacerda left for Vitória, and Yannick Bolasie left the club this week.
What time is Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama and where is it played?
Kickoff is 23:30 UTC on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, at Arena Condá in Chapecó. Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima is the referee, and Premiere shows the game in Brazil.
Live tracker: what changed before kickoff on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Prices, chances and slips on this page refresh automatically from our live feeds. Any change since publication is listed here with its time.
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