Nacional vs Albion prediction
Nacional are clear favourites at home and need the points far more than Albion do. The corneredge.bet model rates over 7.5 corners at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 61%, and the betting market makes Nacional 67% favourites at 1.49. A defeat would leave Nacional unable to finish first in the Clausura or the annual table. They play without their fans after an AUF sanction and without the suspended Lucas Rodríguez and Francisco Calvo. Editor score call: Nacional 2-1 Albion.
Match facts
- Match
- Nacional vs Albion
- Competition
- Liga AUF Uruguaya 2026, Torneo Clausura
- Round
- 14 of 15
- Date
- Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
- Kickoff
- 23:00 UTC
- Venue
- Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
- Referee
- Esteban Guerra
- At stake
- A defeat ends Nacional hopes of first place in the Clausura and the annual table
- Last meeting
- Nacional 0-0 Albion, 27 August 2026 (Copa AUF Uruguay)
- Suspended
- Lucas Rodríguez, Francisco Calvo (NAC)
Model verdict for Saturday, Nov 14 2026
Over 7.5 corners leads the model card, over 2.5 goals is a lean, and the market sides firmly with Nacional.
Over 7.5 corners
Bet
Over 7.5 corners
Over 8.5 corners
Bet
Over 8.5 corners
Over 2.5 goals
Bet
Over 2.5 goals
Market view, best prices: Nacional 1.49 (67% implied), draw 4.35, Albion 6.20 (16% implied).
Acca bets with Nacional vs Albion
TrebleLower risk
79% avg confidence
View slip
TrebleLower risk
-
1
1.41
Sat 14 Nov, 23:00 UTC · Uruguay Primera Division · this match
Nacional Montevideo v Albion
Corners Over 8.5 corners 71% - 2 1.35
-
3
1.22
Sat 14 Nov, 23:00 UTC · Argentina Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy v Almirante Brown
Corners Over 7.5 corners 81%
Where to bet it
Only Megapari offers every leg in this slip.
| Leg | 2 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nacional Montevideo v AlbionOver 8.5 corners | 1.41 | — | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.40 |
| 2Ucv Moquegua v Atletico GrauOver 7.5 corners | 1.35 | 1.35 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3Gimnasia Jujuy v Almirante BrownOver 7.5 corners | 1.22 | 1.22 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Combined odds | 2.32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 3 legs combine at odds of 2.32 at Megapari, with 79% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $23.20. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
FivefoldBalanced
71% avg confidence
View slip
FivefoldBalanced
-
1
1.41
Sat 14 Nov, 23:00 UTC · Uruguay Primera Division · this match
Nacional Montevideo v Albion
Corners Over 8.5 corners 71% - 2 1.41
- 3 1.34
- 4 1.44
-
5
1.62
Sun 15 Nov, 15:15 UTC · Spain Segunda Division
Corners Over 8.5 corners 72%
Where to bet it
Four bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 4 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 5 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nacional Montevideo v AlbionOver 8.5 corners | 1.41 | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.43 | 1.42 | — |
| 2Germany v NetherlandsOver 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.40 | 1.39 | 1.39 | — | — | 1.41 |
| 3France v TurkeyOver 2.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.33 | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.33 | 1.34 |
| 4Banfield v Boca JuniorsOver 7.5 corners | 1.44 | 1.46 | 1.41 | 1.41 | 1.46 | 1.43 | — |
| 5Granada CF v UD Las PalmasOver 8.5 corners | 1.62 | 1.60 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.62 |
| Combined odds | 6.21 | 6.17 | 5.73 | 5.69 | — | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 5 legs combine at odds of 6.21 at Megapari, with 71% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $62.10. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
EightfoldLong shot
71% avg confidence
View slip
EightfoldLong shot
-
1
1.72
Sat 14 Nov, 23:00 UTC · Uruguay Primera Division · this match
Nacional Montevideo v Albion
Corners Over 9.5 corners 65% -
2
1.40
Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Scotland Championship
Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's Park
Corners Over 8.5 corners 76% - 3 1.43
- 4 1.50
- 5 1.46
-
6
1.54
Sat 14 Nov, 17:00 UTC · U19 Euro 2027 Qualification
Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 74% - 7 1.53
- 8 1.43
Where to bet it
Three bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 7 of 8 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 8 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nacional Montevideo v AlbionOver 9.5 corners | 1.72 | 1.73 | 1.74 | 1.72 | 1.73 | 1.75 | — |
| 2Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's ParkOver 8.5 corners | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| 3AFC Wimbledon v BlackpoolOver 9.5 corners | 1.43 | 1.44 | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.44 |
| 4Mirassol v Atletico-MGOver 9.5 corners | 1.50 | 1.49 | 1.51 | 1.50 | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.49 |
| 5Coritiba v SantosOver 9.5 corners | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.45 | — | — | — | 1.46 |
| 6Portugal U19 v Germany U19Over 2.5 goals | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.54 |
| 7Eldense v CE SabadellOver 8.5 corners | 1.53 | 1.51 | 1.50 | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.53 | 1.51 |
| 8Romania v PolandOver 7.5 corners | 1.43 | 1.39 | 1.37 | 1.43 | 1.37 | 1.39 | 1.39 |
| Combined odds | 25.41 | 24.52 | 24.47 | — | — | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 8 legs combine at odds of 25.41 at Roobet, with 71% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $254.10. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
Editor score call
OpinionFull time call · Sat, Nov 14 · 23:00 UTC · Gran Parque Central
Why 2-1
Nacional have won 10 of their last 11 games in all competitions and score 1.9 goals a match in the data. Albion are unbeaten in five Clausura games and scored three times against Nacional in May, so a home clean sheet is far from certain. With the model at 61% for over 2.5 goals, we expect three goals and a home win.
What backs the call
- ModelOver 2.5 goals61%
- MarketNacional win67%
Our model does not predict exact scores. This call is the opinion of the corneredge.bet editorial team.
Nacional vs Albion prediction: what the model says
The model builds its picks from goals and corners data for each team and leaves the match result to the betting market. The market has Nacional at 1.49, the draw at 4.35 and Albion at 6.20.
Goals. Nacional score 1.9 goals a match in the data and Albion score 1.3. The three meetings this year produced six goals between them: 3-2, 1-0 and 0-0. The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61%, best price 1.73 at Thunderpick: a lean, not a strong edge.
Corners. Nacional take 6.5 corners a match and concede 4.3. Albion take 3.1 and concede 5.9, so the numbers point to Nacional doing most of the pressing. The model projects 10.7 corners, which puts over 7.5 corners at 77%, over 8.5 at 71% and over 9.5 at 65%.
What Nacional and Albion need on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Nacional win
Nacional move to 29 points in the Clausura, one behind Liverpool, and to 64 in the annual table, one behind Peñarol. The Clausura race then turns on Sunday: a Liverpool win at Danubio would give Liverpool 33 points, more than Nacional can reach.
A draw
Nacional reach 27 points in the Clausura, with 30 the most they can finish on, the total Liverpool already have. In the annual table they would have 62, with 65 the most they can reach, the total Peñarol already have. Both races would need several results to go their way.
Albion win
Nacional can then finish on 29 Clausura points at most, below the 30 for Liverpool, and on 64 annual points at most, below the 65 for Peñarol. First place in both tables would be out of reach. Albion would move to 50 points in the annual table.
What is in it for Albion?
Albion are 12th in the Clausura and clear of the relegation fight. They sit eighth in the annual table with 47 points, and the annual table also gives out the Copa Sudamericana places.
The Liga AUF Uruguaya 2026 champion comes from a playoff: Racing, the Apertura winner, play the Clausura winner in a semifinal, and the winner meets the leader of the annual table (Apertura, Intermedio group games and Clausura added up) in a two leg final. Relegation goes by the average of points over the 2025 and 2026 seasons.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22-8 | +14 | 30 |
| 2 | Montevideo City Torque | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 28-16 | +12 | 29 |
| 3 | NacionalThis match | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19-13 | +6 | 26 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18-10 | +8 | 22 |
| 12 | AlbionThis match | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15-20 | -5 | 13 |
- Clausura winner: championship semifinal against Racing, the Apertura winner
Updated after Montevideo City Torque 2-2 Racing on Friday 13 November. Deportivo Maldonado host Cerro at 19:30 UTC on Saturday, before this game, and Liverpool play at Danubio on Sunday. Round 15 is the last.
| Team | Played | Points | Games left |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol | 35 | 65 | 2 |
| Montevideo City Torque | 36 | 64 | 1 |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 63 | 2 |
| Nacional | 35 | 61 | 2 |
| Racing | 36 | 61 | 1 |
| Liverpool | 35 | 59 | 2 |
| Albion | 35 | 47 | 2 |
Peñarol had one point taken off. The leader of the annual table goes straight to the final. Peñarol play Defensor Sporting on Sunday.
Nacional chase the Clausura and the annual table without their fans
Nacional lost their first two Clausura games, against Boston River and Racing. Daniel Carreño then took over, the third coach of the 2026 season after Jadson Viera and Jorge Bava, and won his first game 1-0 against Progreso. All 26 Clausura points have come since. Nacional have now won 10 of their last 11 games in all competitions, and the only defeat was 1-0 at home to Liverpool on 25 October.
The run still leaves Nacional chasing. Liverpool lead the Clausura with 30 points, Montevideo City Torque have 29 after a 2-2 draw with Racing on Friday, and Nacional have 26 with two rounds left. In the annual table, whose leader goes straight to the final, Peñarol have 65 points and Nacional 61. The stands will be quiet too: the AUF ordered Nacional to play without their fans after incidents in a game against Deportivo Maldonado.
Albion came up as the top team in the 2025 Segunda División. They sit 12th in the Clausura but have not lost in five games, with four wins, and they are eighth in the annual table with 47 points. Álvaro López is the man to watch: he scored twice when Albion beat Nacional 3-2 at the Estadio Centenario on 3 May.
The three meetings this year were all tight. After that Albion win in the Apertura, Nacional won 1-0 at Gran Parque Central in the Intermedio on 23 May, and the Copa AUF Uruguay group game on 27 August ended 0-0. Nacional are still in that cup too, with a semifinal against Montevideo City Torque to come.
Nacional vs Albion team news and predicted lineups
Nacional
Head coach Daniel Carreño, in charge since August, the third Nacional coach of the 2026 season after Jadson Viera and Jorge Bava
- Suspended
Lucas Rodríguez and Francisco Calvo, both after a fifth yellow card against Danubio. Bruno Zuculini is expected to replace Rodríguez in midfield
- Doubts
Alejandro Martínez, near the end of his recovery from injury: one preview lists him as out, another says the call comes close to kickoff
- Form
Ten wins in the last 11 games in all competitions; the only defeat was 1-0 at home to Liverpool on 25 October
Nacional predicted XI: Martín Arias; Ancheta, Coates, Viera; Martirena, Boggio, Zuculini, González, Cándido; Correa, Gómez
Albion
Head coach Federico Nieves started the season in charge. Recent previews name a new staff, but they do not agree on the names
- Team news
The previews do not report any injuries or suspensions
- Form
Unbeaten in five Clausura games, with four wins and a 0-0 draw at home to Deportivo Maldonado
- Key man
Álvaro López, who scored twice when Albion beat Nacional 3-2 in the Apertura in May
- Table
12th in the Clausura with 13 points, eighth in the annual table with 47
Nacional vs Albion head to head
Last 5 meetings
- n/a
Nacional0-0Albion
Copa AUF Uruguay group stage, Montevideo - n/a
Nacional1-0Albion
Torneo Intermedio, Gran Parque Central - n/a
Albion3-2Nacional
Torneo Apertura, Estadio Centenario - n/a
Albion0-1Nacional
Torneo Clausura, Montevideo - n/a
Nacional2-0Albion
Torneo Apertura, Gran Parque Central
Corner counts come from our match data where it exists. Older meetings show n/a.
Nacional and Albion have met three times in 2026: Albion won 3-2 in the Apertura, Nacional won 1-0 in the Intermedio, and the Copa AUF Uruguay group game ended 0-0. In 2022, Nacional won both league meetings, 2-0 at home and 1-0 away, the second with a Luis Suárez goal. Albion went down at the end of 2022 and came back up as the top team in the 2025 Segunda División.
Nacional vs Albion best bets for Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Best bet for goals
Over 2.5 goals: Nacional have to chase the win
A draw does little for Nacional, and Albion have scored in four of their last five Clausura games. The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61%, with 1.73 at Thunderpick the best price. The risk: two of the three meetings this year stayed under the line, 1-0 and 0-0.
Best bet for corners
Over 7.5 corners: the strongest lean on the card
The model projects 10.7 corners. Nacional take 6.5 corners a match and Albion concede 5.9, so the home side should keep the ball in the Albion half for long spells. The risk is an early Nacional lead that slows the game down. Over 8.5 corners pays 1.43 at 71% for a bigger price.
Nacional vs Albion odds: best prices right now
What the market says
Best price per outcome across the sportsbooks we track. Implied chance is 1 divided by the odds, before the sportsbook margin.
Nacional vs Albion corners in one minute
Corner averages per match
Corners for, per match
Corners against, per match lower is better
Total match corners
Better in that row
Every corner line from 7.5 to 11.5, with prices by sportsbook and first half numbers, is on the Nacional vs Albion corner prediction page.
Nacional vs Albion prediction FAQ
Who will win Nacional vs Albion?
The betting market makes Nacional favourites at 1.49, a 67% implied chance, for Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, in Montevideo. The model does not price the match result; it backs over 7.5 corners at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 61%. The editor score call is Nacional 2-1 Albion.
What is the Nacional vs Albion score prediction?
Nacional 2-1 Albion. It is an editor opinion, not model output, and it fits the model lean to over 2.5 goals.
What happens if Nacional lose to Albion?
Nacional could then finish on 29 Clausura points at most, below the 30 Liverpool already have, and on 64 points at most in the annual table, below the 65 Peñarol already have. First place in both tables would be gone. A win on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, would instead put Nacional one point behind the leaders in both tables.
What was the score the last time Nacional played Albion?
The last meeting ended Nacional 0-0 Albion on 27 August 2026, in the group stage of the Copa AUF Uruguay. In the league, Nacional won 1-0 in the Intermedio on 23 May 2026, three weeks after Albion won 3-2 in the Apertura.
Who is missing for Nacional and Albion?
Nacional are without Lucas Rodríguez and Francisco Calvo, who are both suspended after five yellow cards, and Alejandro Martínez is a doubt near the end of his recovery from injury. The previews do not report any absences for Albion.
What time is Nacional vs Albion and where is it played?
Kickoff is 23:00 UTC on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, at Gran Parque Central in Montevideo, with no Nacional fans allowed in after an AUF sanction. Esteban Guerra is the referee.
Live tracker: what changed before kickoff on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Prices, chances and slips on this page refresh automatically from our live feeds. Any change since publication is listed here with its time.
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