Querétaro vs Monterrey prediction
The winner of this rescheduled game at Estadio Corregidora moves into the top eight before the last round, and Monterrey go in as the stronger side on paper. The corneredge.bet model rates over 7.5 corners at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. The betting market makes Monterrey favourites at 2.11, a 47% implied chance. Querétaro have lost five games in a row, a run that began with the 5-0 at Santos Laguna in which top scorer Santiago Homenchenko broke his hand. Monterrey travel without striker Hugo Cuypers, who is away with Belgium. Editor score call: Querétaro 1-2 Monterrey.
Match facts
- Match
- Querétaro vs Monterrey
- Competition
- Liga MX Apertura 2026
- Round
- Matchday 7 of 17, rescheduled
- Date
- Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
- Kickoff
- 23:00 UTC
- Venue
- Estadio Corregidora, Querétaro
- At stake
- The winner moves into the top eight
- Last meeting
- Monterrey 4-0 Querétaro, 4 March 2026
- Form
- Querétaro have lost five in a row
- Away on duty
- Hugo Cuypers and Jesús Corona (Monterrey)
Model verdict for Saturday, Nov 14 2026
Corners give the strongest model lean, goals follow, and the market prefers Monterrey.
Over 7.5 corners
Bet
Over 7.5 corners
Over 8.5 corners
Bet
Over 8.5 corners
Over 2.5 goals
Bet
Over 2.5 goals
Market view, best prices: Querétaro 3.55 (28% implied), draw 3.60, Monterrey 2.11 (47% implied).
Acca bets with Querétaro vs Monterrey
TrebleLower risk
76% avg confidence
View slip
TrebleLower risk
-
1
1.31
Sat 14 Nov, 23:00 UTC · Mexico Liga MX · this match
Queretaro v Monterrey
Corners Over 8.5 corners 75% -
2
1.34
Sun 15 Nov, 15:15 UTC · Spain Segunda Division
Corners Over 7.5 corners 78% - 3 1.29
Where to bet it
Three bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Queretaro v MonterreyOver 8.5 corners | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| 2Granada CF v UD Las PalmasOver 7.5 corners | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.31 |
| 3Amarante v Felgueiras 1932Over 7.5 corners | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.31 |
| Combined odds | 2.26 | 2.26 | 2.25 |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 3 legs combine at odds of 2.26 at 22Bet, with 76% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $22.60. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
FivefoldBalanced
75% avg confidence
View slip
FivefoldBalanced
-
1
1.31
Sat 14 Nov, 23:00 UTC · Mexico Liga MX · this match
Queretaro v Monterrey
Corners Over 8.5 corners 75% - 2 1.36
-
3
1.40
Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Scotland Championship
Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's Park
Corners Over 8.5 corners 76% -
4
1.34
Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Scotland Championship
Corners Over 7.5 corners 74% -
5
1.38
Sat 14 Nov, 17:00 UTC · U19 Euro 2027 Qualification
France U19 v Republic of Ireland U19
Corners Over 7.5 corners 74%
Where to bet it
Three bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 2 of 5 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 5 | 1 of 5 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Queretaro v MonterreyOver 8.5 corners | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 | — | — | — | — |
| 2Fleetwood Town v Tranmere RoversOver 8.5 corners | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.32 | — | — | — | — |
| 3Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's ParkOver 8.5 corners | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| 4Ayr United v Raith Rovers FCOver 7.5 corners | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.36 | — | — | — | — |
| 5France U19 v Republic of Ireland U19Over 7.5 corners | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.37 | 1.35 | 1.35 | — | — |
| Combined odds | 4.61 | 4.61 | 4.51 | — | — | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 5 legs combine at odds of 4.61 at 22Bet, with 75% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $46.10. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
EightfoldLong shot
74% avg confidence
View slip
EightfoldLong shot
-
1
1.56
Sat 14 Nov, 23:00 UTC · Mexico Liga MX · this match
Queretaro v Monterrey
Corners Over 9.5 corners 69% -
2
1.46
Sat 14 Nov, 23:00 UTC · Argentina Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy v Almirante Brown
Corners Over 8.5 corners 75% -
3
1.48
Tue 17 Nov, 13:00 UTC · Africa Cup of Nations 2027 Qualification
Corners Over 7.5 corners 78% - 4 1.47
-
5
1.54
Sat 14 Nov, 17:00 UTC · U19 Euro 2027 Qualification
Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 74% - 6 1.44
- 7 1.49
- 8 1.46
Where to bet it
Two bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 5 of 8 | 5 of 8 | 4 of 8 | 4 of 8 | 4 of 8 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Queretaro v MonterreyOver 9.5 corners | 1.56 | 1.56 | 1.57 | 1.59 | 1.57 | 1.58 | 1.56 |
| 2Gimnasia Jujuy v Almirante BrownOver 8.5 corners | 1.46 | 1.46 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3Ethiopia v MozambiqueOver 7.5 corners | 1.48 | 1.48 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4Atlético Goianiense v Cuiaba ECOver 9.5 corners | 1.47 | 1.47 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5Portugal U19 v Germany U19Over 2.5 goals | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.55 |
| 6AFC Wimbledon v BlackpoolOver 9.5 corners | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.43 |
| 7Mirassol v Atletico-MGOver 9.5 corners | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1.50 | 1.51 | 1.50 | 1.51 | 1.48 |
| 8Coritiba v SantosOver 9.5 corners | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.45 | — | — | — |
| Combined odds | 23.90 | 23.90 | — | — | — | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 8 legs combine at odds of 23.90 at 22Bet, with 74% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $239.00. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
Editor score call
OpinionFull time call · Sat, Nov 14 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Corregidora
Why 1-2
Querétaro have conceded 15 goals in their five straight defeats, and only a win lifts them into the top eight, so they cannot wait for chances. Monterrey average 1.3 goals a match in the data, but without Cuypers a narrow win is more likely than a rout. With the model leaning to over 2.5 goals, we expect three goals and a Monterrey win.
What backs the call
- ModelOver 2.5 goals64%
- MarketMonterrey win47%
Our model does not predict exact scores. This call is the opinion of the corneredge.bet editorial team.
Querétaro vs Monterrey prediction: what the model says
The model builds its picks from goals and corners data for each team and leaves the match result to the betting market. That market has Monterrey ahead at 2.11, with Querétaro at 3.55 and the draw at 3.60.
Goals. Querétaro score 1.2 goals a match in the data, but only three came in their last five games. Monterrey average 1.3, and their last two league games ended 3-3 against Tijuana and 4-0 to Toluca. The model rates over 2.5 goals at 64%, best price 1.90 at Thunderpick: a lean rather than a strong edge.
Corners. Querétaro take 5.6 corners a match and concede 5.7. Monterrey take 7.2 and concede 3.5. The model projects 11.3 corners in total, which puts over 7.5 corners at 81%, over 8.5 at 75% and over 9.5 at 69%.
What Querétaro and Monterrey need on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Querétaro win
Querétaro go to 23 points and climb into the top eight before the last round, above Pachuca and Tijuana on 22. A second win, at home to Necaxa on Sunday 22 November, would then make sure of a Liguilla place. Monterrey stay on 21 points, outside the top eight, with only the trip to Pumas left.
A draw
Monterrey move to 22 points, level with Pachuca and Tijuana but behind both on goal difference. Querétaro move to 21. Both teams go into the last round outside the top eight.
Monterrey win
Monterrey go to 24 points and up to seventh, one point behind Santos Laguna, and a win at Pumas in the last round would then make sure of a Liguilla place. Querétaro stay on 20 points and would need, at the very least, a win over Necaxa, a León defeat and no wins for Pachuca, Tijuana or Pumas, and then to finish above León on the tiebreaks.
Can either team be knocked out on Saturday?
No. Even after a defeat, Querétaro can still reach 23 points and Monterrey 24, and neither total is out of reach of eighth place before the last round.
Liga MX Apertura 2026 format: the 18 clubs play 17 rounds, and the top eight go straight into the Liguilla quarter finals. There is no play in round this season. Teams level on points are split first by goal difference.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37-26 | +11 | 32 |
| 2 | América | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38-23 | +15 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26-15 | +11 | 30 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23-20 | +3 | 25 |
| 7 | León | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23-21 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29-20 | +9 | 22 |
| 9 | Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25-22 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 | MonterreyThis match | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26-25 | +1 | 21 |
| 11 | Pumas UNAM | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24-26 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | QuerétaroThis match | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18-23 | -5 | 20 |
- Top eight: straight into the Liguilla quarter finals
- Outside the top eight
Table after matchday 16, played up to 8 November 2026. Querétaro and Monterrey have played 15 games, the other clubs 16. Matchday 17 is on 20 to 22 November: Querétaro host Necaxa, Monterrey visit Pumas, Santos Laguna host León, Pachuca host Toluca and Tijuana host Atlante.
A postponed game with a top eight place on the line
This game belongs to matchday 7. Liga MX moved it because Monterrey were still playing in the final stage of the Leagues Cup, and it found a new date in the November international break. That makes it the only league game between matchdays 16 and 17. Both teams have played 15 games and both sit just outside the top eight: Monterrey on 21 points, Querétaro on 20, with Pachuca and Tijuana on 22.
Querétaro looked like one of the surprises of the Apertura. Chilean coach Esteban González, who arrived for the Clausura 2026 after he won the league title in Chile with Coquimbo Unido, had 20 points from the first ten games and only eight goals conceded. Then Uruguayan midfielder Santiago Homenchenko, the top scorer at the club with five goals, broke his right hand in a 5-0 defeat at Santos Laguna on 17 October. That was the first of five straight defeats, with three goals scored and 15 conceded. The latest was a 2-0 home loss to Puebla on 8 November.
Monterrey have had a long autumn under Matías Almeyda, in his first season at the club. He took them to the Leagues Cup final, which they lost 2-0 to Toluca on 6 September, and Toluca beat them again last weekend, 4-0 in the league. Almeyda now travels without striker Hugo Cuypers, who has his first call up for Belgium, and without Jesús Corona, who is with Mexico.
Recent meetings point one way. Monterrey have won the last four, including 4-0 at Estadio BBVA on 4 March, when Luca Orellano scored twice. The winner on Saturday goes into the last round inside the top eight, with Querétaro at home to Necaxa and Monterrey away to Pumas.
Querétaro vs Monterrey team news and predicted lineups
Querétaro
Head coach Esteban González (Chile), in charge since the Clausura 2026 after he won the league title in Chile with Coquimbo Unido
- Injured
Santiago Homenchenko, the top scorer at the club with five goals, broke his right hand on 17 October and had surgery. The club has not given a return date.
- Form
Five defeats in a row, with 3 goals scored and 15 conceded
- Before the slide
20 points and only 8 goals conceded in the first ten games of the Apertura
- Next
Necaxa at home in the last round
Monterrey
Head coach Matías Almeyda (Argentina), in his first season at the club
- Away on duty
Striker Hugo Cuypers, called up by Belgium for the first time, and Jesús Corona, called up by Mexico
- Form
A 3-3 draw with Tijuana, then a 4-0 defeat at Toluca last weekend
- Cup run
Reached the Leagues Cup final and lost it 2-0 to Toluca on 6 September
- Next
Away to Pumas in the last round
Querétaro vs Monterrey head to head
Last 4 meetings
- n/a
Monterrey4-0Querétaro
Liga MX Clausura 2026, Estadio BBVA - n/a
Querétaro0-1Monterrey
Liga MX Apertura 2025, Estadio Corregidora - n/a
Querétaro2-4Monterrey
Liga MX Clausura 2025, Estadio Corregidora - n/a
Monterrey2-1Querétaro
Liga MX Apertura 2024, Estadio BBVA
Corner counts come from our match data where it exists. Older meetings show n/a.
Monterrey have won the last four meetings, scoring 11 goals and conceding 3. Two of those wins came at Estadio Corregidora: 4-2 in February 2025 and 1-0 in September 2025. The most recent was a 4-0 win at Estadio BBVA on 4 March 2026, when Luca Orellano scored twice.
Querétaro vs Monterrey best bets for Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Best bet for goals
Over 2.5 goals: Querétaro cannot sit back
Querétaro need a win to get into the top eight before the last round, and they have let in 15 goals in their last five games. The model rates over 2.5 goals at 64%, with 1.90 at Thunderpick the best price. The risk is at the other end: Querétaro scored only three goals in that run, and Monterrey are without Cuypers.
Best bet for corners
Over 8.5 corners: a better price than the top pick
The model projects 11.3 corners, and Monterrey take 7.2 a match. A Querétaro side that has to chase the game should add to that. Over 8.5 corners is rated at 75% and pays 1.31, more than the 1.14 on the top pick, over 7.5. Over 9.5 corners pays 1.65 at 69% for a bigger price.
Querétaro vs Monterrey odds: best prices right now
What the market says
Best price per outcome across the sportsbooks we track. Implied chance is 1 divided by the odds, before the sportsbook margin.
Querétaro vs Monterrey corners in one minute
Corner averages per match
Corners for, per match
Corners against, per match lower is better
Total match corners
Better in that row
Every corner line from 7.5 to 11.5, with prices by sportsbook and first half numbers, is on the Querétaro vs Monterrey corner prediction page.
Querétaro vs Monterrey prediction FAQ
Who will win Querétaro vs Monterrey?
The betting market makes Monterrey favourites at 2.11, a 47% implied chance, for Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, at Estadio Corregidora. The model does not price the match result; it backs over 7.5 corners at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. The editor score call is Querétaro 1-2 Monterrey.
What is the Querétaro vs Monterrey score prediction?
Querétaro 1-2 Monterrey. It is an editor opinion, not model output, and it fits the model lean to over 2.5 goals.
What happens if Querétaro lose to Monterrey?
Querétaro stay on 20 points with only the home game against Necaxa left, and Monterrey move to 24 points and up to seventh. Querétaro are not out on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, because they can still reach 23 points. But they would need, at the very least, a win over Necaxa, a León defeat and no wins for Pachuca, Tijuana or Pumas on the last day, and then to finish above León on the tiebreaks.
What was the score the last time Querétaro played Monterrey?
Monterrey won 4-0 at Estadio BBVA on 4 March 2026 in the Clausura 2026. Luca Orellano scored twice, and Sergio Canales and Jesús Corona added the other goals. Monterrey have won the last four meetings.
Who is missing for Querétaro and Monterrey?
Monterrey are without striker Hugo Cuypers, called up by Belgium, and Jesús Corona, called up by Mexico. Querétaro have been without top scorer Santiago Homenchenko since he broke his right hand on 17 October, and the club has not given a return date.
What time is Querétaro vs Monterrey and where is it played?
Kickoff is 23:00 UTC on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, which is 17:00 local time, at Estadio Corregidora in Querétaro.
Live tracker: what changed before kickoff on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
- Draw: best price 3.57 to 3.60; Monterrey to win: best price 2.10 to 2.11.
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