Georgia vs Hungary prediction
Hungary are narrow favourites in Tbilisi, but the clearest pick in the numbers is on corners, not goals. The corneredge.bet model rates over 7.5 corners at 64% and over 2.5 goals at only 52%, while the betting market makes Hungary 40% favourites at 2.53. A Hungary win takes them top of League B Group 2, and Georgia, without a goal in four group games, are trying to climb off the bottom. Georgia captain Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is out with a knee injury, while Hungary captain Dominik Szoboszlai has been declared fit after a knee sprain. Editor score call: Georgia 0-1 Hungary.
Match facts
- Match
- Georgia vs Hungary
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League 2026/27
- Group
- League B, Group 2, matchday 5
- Date
- Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
- Kickoff
- 17:00 UTC
- Venue
- Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
- Referee
- Ondřej Berka (Czechia)
- At stake
- A Hungary win takes them top of the group
- Last meeting
- Hungary 1-0 Georgia, 2 October 2026
- Missing
- Kvaratskhelia (Georgia), Lukács (Hungary)
Model verdict for Saturday, Nov 14 2026
A tight game in the market, with the model edge on corners rather than goals.
Over 7.5 corners
Bet
Over 7.5 corners
Over 8.5 corners
Bet
Over 8.5 corners
Over 9.5 corners
Bet
Over 9.5 corners
Market view, best prices: Georgia 3.51, draw 3.32, Hungary 2.53 (40% implied).
Acca bets with Georgia vs Hungary
FivefoldBalancedClosed
73% avg confidence
View slip
FivefoldBalancedClosed
-
1
1.57
Sat 14 Nov, 17:00 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match
Georgia v Hungary
Corners Over 7.5 corners 64% - 2 1.36
- 3 1.31
- 4 1.29
-
5
1.38
Sat 14 Nov, 17:00 UTC · U19 Euro 2027 Qualification
France U19 v Republic of Ireland U19
Corners Over 7.5 corners 74%
Where to bet it
Three bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 2 of 5 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 5 | 1 of 5 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Georgia v HungaryOver 7.5 corners | 1.57 | 1.47 | 1.45 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.49 | 1.49 |
| 2Fleetwood Town v Tranmere RoversOver 8.5 corners | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.32 | — | — | — | — |
| 3Queretaro v MonterreyOver 8.5 corners | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 | — | — | — | — |
| 4Amarante v Felgueiras 1932Over 7.5 corners | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.31 | — | — | — | — |
| 5France U19 v Republic of Ireland U19Over 7.5 corners | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.37 | 1.35 | 1.35 | — | — |
| Combined odds | 4.98 | 4.66 | 4.50 | — | — | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
This match has kicked off, so this accumulator can no longer be placed. It stays here for reference only.
All 5 legs combine at odds of 4.98 at 22Bet, with 73% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $49.80. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
EightfoldLong shotClosed
69% avg confidence
View slip
EightfoldLong shotClosed
-
1
1.49
Sat 14 Nov, 17:00 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match
Georgia v Hungary
Corners Over 7.5 corners 64% - 2 1.50
- 3 1.54
- 4 1.53
- 5 1.51
- 6 1.42
-
7
1.54
Sat 14 Nov, 17:00 UTC · U19 Euro 2027 Qualification
Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 74% - 8 1.46
Where to bet it
Six bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 7 of 8 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Georgia v HungaryOver 7.5 corners | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1.45 | 1.47 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.57 |
| 2Mirassol v Atletico-MGOver 9.5 corners | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.48 | 1.49 | 1.51 | 1.55 | 1.49 |
| 3Haiti v USAOver 2.5 goals | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.48 | 1.55 | 1.47 | 1.44 |
| 4Eldense v CE SabadellOver 8.5 corners | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.51 | 1.50 | 1.52 | 1.50 |
| 5Spain v EnglandOver 8.5 corners | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.51 | 1.52 | 1.56 |
| 6France v TurkeyOver 8.5 corners | 1.42 | 1.42 | 1.37 | 1.41 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.49 |
| 7Portugal U19 v Germany U19Over 2.5 goals | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.54 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 1.54 |
| 8Banfield v Boca JuniorsOver 7.5 corners | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.41 | — |
| Combined odds | 25.39 | 25.39 | 23.49 | 22.96 | 22.51 | 22.20 | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
This match has kicked off, so this accumulator can no longer be placed. It stays here for reference only.
All 8 legs combine at odds of 25.39 at BetFury, with 69% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $253.90. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
Editor score call
OpinionFull time call · Sat, Nov 14 · 17:00 UTC · Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Why 0-1
Georgia have not scored in four group games, and Hungary have conceded two goals in four. The model gives over 2.5 goals only 52%, so we expect a low scoring game, and Hungary won the October meeting by the same score.
What backs the call
- ModelOver 7.5 corners64%
- MarketHungary win40%
Our model does not predict exact scores. This call is the opinion of the corneredge.bet editorial team.
Georgia vs Hungary prediction: what the model says
The model reads each market from team data and does not pick a match winner. The result view in this article comes from the betting market, where Hungary are 2.53 and Georgia 3.51. The picks come from corners and goals numbers.
Goals. The model does not lean towards goals in this match. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52%, close to a coin flip, so there is no goals bet in this preview. Georgia average 0.4 goals per match in our data and have not scored in four group games. Hungary average 1.4.
Corners. Georgia take 6.0 corners a match and concede 4.3. Hungary take 4.3 and concede 5.0. The model projects 9.2 corners in total, which puts over 7.5 corners at 64% and over 8.5 corners at 58%. The October meeting in Budapest had 12 corners.
What Georgia and Hungary need on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Hungary win
Hungary go top on 10 points, two clear of Northern Ireland, who host Ukraine at 19:45 UTC. Whatever happens in Belfast, top spot is then settled on Tuesday 17 November, when Hungary host Northern Ireland in Budapest.
A draw
Hungary move level with Northern Ireland on 8 points before the Belfast game. Georgia reach 3 points, still one behind Ukraine.
Georgia win
Georgia move off the bottom on 5 points, above Ukraine at least until Ukraine play in Belfast. Hungary stay on 7 and could then only top the group if Northern Ireland drop points against Ukraine tonight and then lose to Hungary on Tuesday.
What Georgia are playing for
Georgia cannot win the group. The fight is to avoid fourth place and a playoff against a League C runner up. A Georgia defeat plus a Ukraine win in Belfast would leave Georgia fourth, whatever happens when they visit Ukraine on Tuesday.
League B rules for 2026/27: the four group winners are promoted to League A, the runners up play League A teams in playoffs in March 2027, the third placed teams stay in League B, and the fourth placed teams play the League C runners up in playoffs to keep their place in League B.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4-0 | +4 | 8 |
| 2 | HungaryThis match | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3-2 | +1 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | GeorgiaThis match | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | -2 | 2 |
- Winner: up to League A
- Second: playoff for League A
- Third: stays in League B
- Fourth: playoff to stay in League B
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine is also played on Saturday, at 19:45 UTC. Hungary vs Northern Ireland and Ukraine vs Georgia follow on Tuesday 17 November.
Georgia still chase a first goal, Hungary chase a return to League A
At Euro 2024 Georgia beat Portugal 2-0 and reached the last 16. This autumn they have not scored in four Nations League games. They opened with a 1-0 home defeat by Northern Ireland, to a goal deep in stoppage time, and Willy Sagnol was sacked after that game. Ramaz Svanadze stepped up from the under 21 side, and since then Georgia have drawn 0-0 with Ukraine, lost 1-0 in Budapest and drawn 0-0 in Belfast.
The task is harder without Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. The Georgia captain ruptured a cruciate ligament in his right knee playing for Paris Saint-Germain against Barcelona on 20 October and has had surgery. Giorgi Kochorashvili is suspended and Otar Kiteishvili is injured, which leaves more of the attacking load on Georges Mikautadze, scorer of three goals at Euro 2024.
Hungary started with a 1-0 home defeat by Ukraine and a 0-0 draw in Belfast, then won both October games: 1-0 against Georgia in Budapest, with a first half goal from Milos Kerkez, and 2-1 against Ukraine in Trnava. Winning the group would take them back to League A, which they left in March 2025 after a 6-1 aggregate playoff defeat by Turkey.
The big question this week was Dominik Szoboszlai. The Hungary captain sprained a knee in the Liverpool 3-1 win over Crystal Palace on 8 November, and the federation said the decision on his fitness would come at the last minute. On Friday, at his last press conference before the game, Marco Rossi said Szoboszlai is fit to play.
Georgia vs Hungary team news and predicted lineups
Georgia
Head coach Ramaz Svanadze, promoted from the under 21 side after Willy Sagnol was sacked in September
- Out
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (ruptured knee ligament, 20 October), Otar Kiteishvili (injured), Sandro Altunashvili (ill)
- Suspended
Giorgi Kochorashvili
- Key man
Georges Mikautadze of Villarreal, who scored three goals at Euro 2024
- Form
No goals in four group games: lost 1-0 to Northern Ireland, drew 0-0 with Ukraine, lost 1-0 in Budapest and drew 0-0 in Belfast
Hungary
Head coach Marco Rossi
- Fitness
Dominik Szoboszlai sprained a knee for Liverpool on 8 November. Rossi said on Friday that he is fit, and so are Milos Kerkez and Bendegúz Bolla
- Out
Dániel Lukács and Damir Redzić, both with minor injuries, Marco Rossi said on Friday
- Back
Roland Sallai and Barnabás Varga after injury, defender Attila Szalai, and Milos Kerkez after a one match ban
- Not in squad
Milán Tóth, who scored in the 2-1 win over Ukraine in October
- Form
Two wins in October: 1-0 against Georgia in Budapest and 2-1 against Ukraine in Trnava
Georgia vs Hungary head to head
Last 3 meetings
- 12corners
Hungary1-0Georgia
UEFA Nations League - n/a
Georgia3-1Hungary
World Cup 2002 qualifier, Tbilisi - n/a
Hungary4-1Georgia
World Cup 2002 qualifier, Budapest
Corner counts come from our match data where it exists. Older meetings show n/a.
All time, Georgia and Hungary have met three times: 2 Hungary wins, no draws and 1 Georgia win, so Hungary have won two thirds of the meetings. The Georgia win was the only previous game in Tbilisi, 3-1 in a World Cup qualifier on 1 September 2001, at this same ground, then called the Lokomotivi Stadium. Hungary won 4-1 in Budapest in June 2001 and 1-0 in Budapest on 2 October 2026.
Georgia vs Hungary best bets for Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Best bet for corners
Over 7.5 corners: the clearest edge in a close game
Georgia take 6.0 corners a match and Hungary take 4.3. The model projects 9.2 corners in total, above the 7.5 line, and the October meeting had 12. The risk is a slow, careful game: Georgia have drawn 0-0 twice in this group. For a bigger price, over 8.5 corners is 2.01 at a 58% model chance.
Georgia vs Hungary odds: best prices right now
What the market says
Best price per outcome across the sportsbooks we track. Implied chance is 1 divided by the odds, before the sportsbook margin.
Georgia vs Hungary corners in one minute
Corner averages per match
Corners for, per match
Corners against, per match lower is better
Total match corners
Better in that row
Every corner line from 7.5 to 11.5, with prices by sportsbook, is on the Georgia vs Hungary corner prediction page.
Georgia vs Hungary prediction FAQ
Who will win Georgia vs Hungary?
The betting market makes Hungary narrow favourites at 2.53, a 40% implied chance, with Georgia at 3.51 and the draw at 3.32, for Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, in Tbilisi. The model does not price the match result; its strongest pick is over 7.5 corners at 64%. The editor score call is Georgia 0-1 Hungary.
What is the Georgia vs Hungary score prediction?
Georgia 0-1 Hungary. This is the editor score call, an opinion rather than model output. It fits the model, which does not lean towards goals: over 2.5 goals is only 52%.
Can Hungary go top of the group in Tbilisi?
Yes. A win on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, takes Hungary to 10 points, two clear of Northern Ireland until they host Ukraine at 19:45 UTC. Whatever happens in Belfast, top spot is settled on Tuesday 17 November, when Hungary host Northern Ireland in Budapest. The group winner is promoted to League A and the runner up goes to a playoff.
What was the score the last time Georgia played Hungary?
Hungary won 1-0 in Budapest on 2 October 2026 in the Nations League, with a first half goal from Milos Kerkez. Before that, the teams had met only twice, both in 2001.
Is Khvicha Kvaratskhelia playing for Georgia against Hungary?
No. Kvaratskhelia ruptured a cruciate ligament in his right knee playing for Paris Saint-Germain against Barcelona on 20 October and has had surgery. He captained Georgia in the 1-0 defeat in Budapest in October.
Is Dominik Szoboszlai fit to play for Hungary?
Yes, according to Marco Rossi, who said on Friday that Szoboszlai is fit. The Hungary captain sprained a knee in the Liverpool 3-1 win over Crystal Palace on 8 November, and the Hungarian federation said the decision on his fitness would come at the last minute.
What time is Georgia vs Hungary and where is it played?
Kickoff is 17:00 UTC on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, at the Mikheil Meskhi Stadium in Tbilisi. Ondřej Berka of Czechia is the referee. In Hungary the match is live on M4 Sport.
Live tracker: what changed before kickoff on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
- Over 7.5 corners: best price 1.49 to 1.57 (now 22Bet); Over 8.5 corners: best price 1.90 to 2.01 (now 22Bet); Over 9.5 corners: best price 2.50 to 2.55 (now 22Bet).
- Georgia to win: best price 3.35 to 3.48; Draw: best price 3.16 to 3.28 (now GG.BET).
- Georgia to win: best price 3.30 to 3.35; Draw: best price 3.21 to 3.16.
- Georgia to win: best price 3.29 to 3.30; Draw: best price 3.15 to 3.21.
- Georgia to win: best price 3.15 to 3.29; Draw: best price 3.10 to 3.15.
- Over 2.5 goals: best price 2.50 to 2.48 (now 22Bet); Georgia to win: best price 3.10 to 3.15 (now Thunderpick).
- Over 7.5 corners: best price 1.50 to 1.49; Over 8.5 corners: best price 1.94 to 1.90; Over 9.5 corners: best price 2.52 to 2.50.
- Over 2.5 goals: best price 2.59 to 2.60 (now 22Bet); Draw: best price 3.15 to 3.19 (now Thunderpick); Hungary to win: best price 2.55 to 2.52 (now 22Bet).
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