Portugal vs Denmark prediction
Portugal should beat Denmark in Braga, in a tighter game than the 4-2 in Copenhagen in October. The corneredge.bet model does not lean towards goals, with over 2.5 at 43%, but it backs over 7.5 corners at 67%, and the betting market makes Portugal 65% favourites at 1.53. Portugal are already in the quarter finals and win the group with a draw, while a Denmark win takes them through unless Norway beat Wales earlier on Saturday. It is the first Portugal game since Cristiano Ronaldo retired from international football, and João Cancelo and Francisco Conceição are suspended. Editor score call: Portugal 2-0 Denmark.
Match facts
- Match
- Portugal vs Denmark
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League 2026/27
- Group
- League A, Group 4, matchday 5
- Date
- Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
- Kickoff
- 19:45 UTC
- Venue
- Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
- Referee
- Rade Obrenović (Slovenia)
- At stake
- Portugal win the group with a draw
- Last meeting
- Denmark 2-4 Portugal, 1 October 2026
- Missing
- Ronaldo (retired), Cancelo (suspended)
Model verdict for Saturday, Nov 14 2026
Portugal are clear favourites, and the model backs corners rather than goals.
Over 7.5 corners
Bet
Over 7.5 corners
Over 8.5 corners
Bet
Over 8.5 corners
Over 9.5 corners
Bet
Over 9.5 corners
Market view, best prices: Portugal 1.53 (65% implied), draw 4.75, Denmark 6.05.
Acca bets with Portugal vs Denmark
TrebleLower risk
78% avg confidence
View slip
TrebleLower risk
-
1
1.31
Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match
Portugal v Denmark
Corners Over 7.5 corners 67% - 2 1.43
-
3
1.26
Fri 20 Nov, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Orlando City SC v FC Cincinnati
Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 85%
Where to bet it
Only 22Bet offers every leg in this slip.
| Leg | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Portugal v DenmarkOver 7.5 corners | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.31 | 1.29 | 1.32 | — |
| 2Ucv Moquegua v Atletico GrauOver 7.5 corners | 1.43 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3Orlando City SC v FC CincinnatiOver 2.5 goals | 1.26 | — | — | — | — | 1.27 |
| Combined odds | 2.36 | — | — | — | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 3 legs combine at odds of 2.36 at 22Bet, with 78% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $23.60. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
FivefoldBalanced
72% avg confidence
View slip
FivefoldBalanced
-
1
1.31
Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match
Portugal v Denmark
Corners Over 7.5 corners 67% - 2 1.41
-
3
1.40
Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Scotland Championship
Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's Park
Corners Over 8.5 corners 76% - 4 1.33
- 5 1.65
Where to bet it
Five bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 4 of 5 | 4 of 5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Portugal v DenmarkOver 7.5 corners | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.29 | — | — |
| 2AFC Wimbledon v BlackpoolOver 9.5 corners | 1.41 | 1.41 | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.46 | 1.47 |
| 3Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's ParkOver 8.5 corners | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.41 | 1.42 |
| 4France v TurkeyOver 2.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.30 | 1.32 | 1.31 |
| 5Belgium v ItalyOver 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.65 | 1.62 | 1.62 | 1.62 | 1.64 | 1.61 |
| Combined odds | 5.67 | 5.67 | 5.65 | 5.65 | 5.44 | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 5 legs combine at odds of 5.67 at 22Bet, with 72% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $56.70. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
EightfoldLong shot
69% avg confidence
View slip
EightfoldLong shot
-
1
1.32
Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match
Portugal v Denmark
Corners Over 7.5 corners 67% - 2 1.49
- 3 1.51
- 4 1.54
- 5 1.60
-
6
1.58
Sun 15 Nov, 15:15 UTC · Spain Segunda Division
Corners Over 8.5 corners 72% - 7 1.53
- 8 1.51
Where to bet it
Five bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 6 of 8 | 6 of 8 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Portugal v DenmarkOver 7.5 corners | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.29 | — | — |
| 2Mirassol v Atletico-MGOver 9.5 corners | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1.47 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| 3Queretaro v MonterreyOver 9.5 corners | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.55 | 1.55 |
| 4Haiti v USAOver 2.5 goals | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.56 | 1.49 | 1.55 | 1.54 | 1.54 |
| 5Fleetwood Town v Tranmere RoversOver 9.5 corners | 1.60 | 1.59 | 1.62 | 1.62 | 1.56 | — | — |
| 6Granada CF v UD Las PalmasOver 8.5 corners | 1.58 | 1.58 | 1.58 | 1.58 | 1.57 | 1.54 | 1.54 |
| 7Eldense v CE SabadellOver 8.5 corners | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| 8Spain v EnglandOver 8.5 corners | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.52 | 1.51 | 1.51 |
| Combined odds | 26.71 | 26.54 | 26.48 | 25.29 | 25.11 | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 8 legs combine at odds of 26.71 at Roobet, with 69% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $267.10. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
Editor score call
OpinionFull time call · Sat, Nov 14 · 19:45 UTC · Estádio Municipal de Braga
Why 2-0
The model rates over 2.5 goals at only 43%, so the call is a low scoring Portugal win rather than a repeat of the 4-2 in Copenhagen. Portugal average 1.9 goals a match in the data and have won all four games under Jorge Jesus. Denmark have scored in every group game, so a Denmark goal is the main risk to this call.
What backs the call
- ModelOver 2.5 goals43%
- MarketPortugal win65%
Our model does not predict exact scores. This call is the opinion of the corneredge.bet editorial team.
Portugal vs Denmark prediction: what the model says
The model prices goals and corners lines from team data, not the match result. The favourite view in this article comes from the betting market: Portugal 1.53, the draw 4.75 and Denmark 6.05.
Goals. Portugal average 1.9 goals per match and Denmark 1.5. Even so, the model does not lean towards goals: it rates over 2.5 at 43%. The market sees it differently, with over 2.5 at a best price of 1.54, and three of the four Portugal group games had three goals or more. With the model and the market this far apart, there is no goals bet in this article.
Corners. Portugal take 5.0 corners a match and concede 4.1. Denmark take 3.3 and concede 4.0. The model projects 9.7 corners in total, which puts over 7.5 at 67%, over 8.5 at 61% and over 9.5 at 55%.
What Portugal and Denmark need on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Portugal avoid defeat
Portugal finish first in the group, whatever happens in Wales on Tuesday 17 November. They are already through to the quarter finals in March 2027.
Denmark win
Denmark reach the quarter finals unless Norway beat Wales earlier on Saturday. Even then, a point at home to Norway on Tuesday would be enough. Portugal would need a point in Wales to be sure of first place.
A draw
Denmark move to 7 points and can no longer finish fourth. A win at home to Norway on Tuesday would then take them through.
Denmark lose
Denmark stay on 6 points, but their fate stays in their hands: a win over Norway in Copenhagen on Tuesday takes them through, whatever else happens.
League A rules for 2026/27: the top two in each group reach the quarter finals in March 2027. The two best third placed teams stay up, the two worst third placed and the two best fourth placed teams play the League B runners up in playoffs, and the two worst fourth placed teams are relegated.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PortugalThis match | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9-4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | DenmarkThis match | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7-7 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2-5 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6-8 | -2 | 3 |
- Top two: quarter finals
- Third: stay up or playoff
- Fourth: playoff or relegation
Wales sit above Norway on head to head: they won 2-1 in Cardiff on 1 October. Norway vs Wales is played earlier on Saturday at 17:00 UTC. Denmark vs Norway and Wales vs Portugal follow on Tuesday 17 November.
Portugal after Ronaldo: a first game in Braga
Saturday is the first Portugal game since Cristiano Ronaldo announced his retirement from international football on 5 November. He leaves with 234 caps and 146 goals, both records in international football. His last game was the 1-0 win over Wales in Lisbon on 24 September, the first game under Jorge Jesus. Previews report a tribute to Ronaldo before kickoff in Braga.
The break came fast. Ronaldo stayed on the bench in Oslo on 27 September, then left the camp before the game in Copenhagen after a falling out with Jesus. Portugal did not slow down without him: they won 4-2 in Copenhagen on 1 October and 2-1 at home to Norway three days later, which sealed a quarter final place with two games to spare. Bernardo Silva is the new captain.
Denmark arrive second in the group, three points clear of Wales and Norway. They beat Wales twice, 2-0 in Copenhagen and 1-0 in Cardiff through a late Rasmus Højlund penalty, but lost 3-2 in Oslo and 4-2 at home to Portugal. In that October game Denmark came back twice, through Mikkel Damsgaard and Højlund, before Vitinha and João Félix won it for Portugal.
Braga has good memories for Portugal in this fixture. On 8 October 2015 a João Moutinho goal won the game 1-0 at this stadium and sent Portugal to Euro 2016. Denmark have won on Portuguese soil only once, 3-2 in Lisbon in a World Cup qualifier on 10 September 2008.
Portugal vs Denmark team news and predicted lineups
Portugal
Head coach Jorge Jesus, in charge since July 2026, with four wins from four games
- Suspended
João Cancelo (yellow cards) and Francisco Conceição (sent off against Norway)
- Out
Nuno Mendes and Rafael Leão (injured); Nuno Tavares and Tomás Araújo left the squad
- Retired
Cristiano Ronaldo ended his Portugal career on 5 November with 234 caps and 146 goals
- Captain
Bernardo Silva takes the armband
- Called up
Flávio Nazinho, the Monaco left back, in his first squad
Portugal predicted XI: Costa; Dalot, Dias, Veiga, Nazinho; Vitinha, Fernandes, J. Neves; Neto, Ramos, Félix
Denmark
Head coach Brian Riemer
- Out
Patrick Dorgu (muscle injury) and Andreas Christensen (injured)
- Bookings
Six players are one booking away from a ban
- Key man
Rasmus Højlund has scored three of the seven Denmark goals in the group, including the winning penalty in Cardiff
- Form
Two wins over Wales and defeats by Norway and Portugal; Denmark have scored in all four group games
Denmark predicted XI: Hermansen; Kristensen, Andersen, Provstgaard, Mæhle; Hjulmand, Højbjerg; Isaksen, Frøholdt, Daramy; Højlund
Portugal vs Denmark head to head
Last 5 meetings
- 10corners
Denmark2-4Portugal
UEFA Nations League - n/a
Portugal5-2Denmark
Nations League quarter final, Lisbon, after extra time - n/a
Denmark1-0Portugal
Nations League quarter final, Copenhagen - n/a
Portugal1-0Denmark
Euro 2016 qualifier, Braga - n/a
Denmark0-1Portugal
Euro 2016 qualifier, Copenhagen
Corner counts come from our match data where it exists. Older meetings show n/a.
Portugal and Denmark have met 18 times in official matches: 12 Portugal wins, 4 Denmark wins and 2 draws, so Portugal have won two thirds of the meetings. Some previews give 19 meetings and 13 Portugal wins, which matches the official record plus a 1995 Portugal win in Toronto that Denmark do not count as an official match. Portugal have won five of the last six meetings.
Portugal vs Denmark best bets for Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
Best bet for corners
Over 7.5 corners: the strongest line in the model
Portugal take 5.0 corners a match and Denmark concede 4.0. Denmark add 3.3 of their own, and the model projects 9.7 in total, which puts over 7.5 at 67%. The price is short at 1.32; for a bigger price, over 8.5 is 1.57 at a 61% model chance.
Portugal vs Denmark odds: best prices right now
What the market says
Best price per outcome across the sportsbooks we track. Implied chance is 1 divided by the odds, before the sportsbook margin.
Portugal vs Denmark corners in one minute
Corner averages per match
Corners for, per match
Corners against, per match lower is better
Total match corners
Better in that row
Every corner line from over 7.5 to over 11.5, with the price at each sportsbook, is on the Portugal vs Denmark corner prediction page.
Portugal vs Denmark prediction FAQ
Who will win Portugal vs Denmark?
The betting market makes Portugal clear favourites at 1.53, a 65% implied chance, for Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, in Braga. Denmark are 6.05. The model does not price the result; it backs over 7.5 corners at 67% and does not lean towards goals. The editor score call is Portugal 2-0 Denmark.
What is the Portugal vs Denmark score prediction?
Portugal 2-0 Denmark. This is an editor score call, an opinion rather than model output. Two goals fit the model view on goals, which rates over 2.5 at only 43%.
Do Denmark need to beat Portugal to reach the quarter finals?
No. A win on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, takes Denmark through unless Norway beat Wales earlier in the day, but it is not the only route. Whatever happens in Braga, Denmark reach the quarter finals if they beat Norway at home on Tuesday 17 November.
What was the score the last time Portugal played Denmark?
Portugal won 4-2 in Copenhagen on 1 October 2026 in the Nations League. João Cancelo, Gonçalo Ramos, Vitinha and João Félix scored for Portugal, Mikkel Damsgaard and Rasmus Højlund for Denmark.
Is Cristiano Ronaldo playing for Portugal against Denmark?
No. Ronaldo announced his retirement from international football on 5 November 2026, with records of 234 caps and 146 goals. His last Portugal game was the 1-0 win over Wales on 24 September. Bernardo Silva is the new captain.
Who is missing for Portugal against Denmark?
João Cancelo and Francisco Conceição are suspended. Nuno Mendes and Rafael Leão are injured, and Nuno Tavares and Tomás Araújo left the squad. Flávio Nazinho, the Monaco left back, is in his first squad and is expected to start.
What time is Portugal vs Denmark and where is it played?
Kickoff is 19:45 UTC on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, at the Estádio Municipal de Braga in Braga. Rade Obrenović of Slovenia is the referee. In the UK the match is on Prime Video, and in the US on FOX Sports.
Live tracker: what changed before kickoff on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026
- Portugal to win: best price 1.52 to 1.53; Draw: best price 4.76 to 4.75 (now GG.BET).
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