Scotland vs North Macedonia prediction
Scotland should beat North Macedonia at Hampden, but the numbers point to a low scoring win rather than a rout. The corneredge.bet model rates over 7.5 corners at 62% and over 2.5 goals at only 45%, and the betting market makes Scotland 83% favourites at 1.20. A win makes third place in the group safe and keeps Scotland in the race for second, three points behind Slovenia. North Macedonia have not scored in eight games, and Scotland captain Andy Robertson is expected to win his 102nd cap, level with the record of Kenny Dalglish. Editor score call: Scotland 2-0 North Macedonia.
Match facts
- Match
- Scotland vs North Macedonia
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League 2026/27
- Group
- League B, Group 1, matchday 5
- Date
- Friday, Nov 13, 2026
- Kickoff
- 19:45 UTC
- Venue
- Hampden Park, Glasgow
- Referee
- Michal Očenáš (Slovakia)
- At stake
- One point makes third place safe for Scotland
- Milestone
- Robertson expected to equal the record of 102 caps
- Last meeting
- North Macedonia 0-2 Scotland, 3 October 2026
Model verdict for Friday, Nov 13 2026
Scotland are big favourites, but the clearest model edge is on corners, not goals.
Over 7.5 corners
Bet
Over 7.5 corners
Over 8.5 corners
Bet
Over 8.5 corners
Over 9.5 corners
Bet
Over 9.5 corners
Market view, best prices: Scotland 1.20 (83% implied), draw 6.60, North Macedonia 16.00 (6% implied).
Editor score call
OpinionFull time call · Fri, Nov 13 · 19:45 UTC · Hampden Park
Why 2-0
North Macedonia have not scored in eight games, and in Skopje in October Scotland won 2-0 with 25 shots to 9. Scotland have scored only three goals in four group games, and the model rates over 2.5 goals at 45%, so we expect a home win without many goals.
What backs the call
- MarketScotland win83%
- ModelOver 7.5 corners62%
Our model does not predict exact scores. This call is the opinion of the corneredge.bet editorial team.
Scotland vs North Macedonia prediction: what the model says
The model works from the goals and corners numbers of both teams, one market at a time. It has no view on who wins, so the result prices in this article come from the sportsbooks.
Goals. The model does not lean towards goals in this match. It rates over 2.5 goals at 45%, so there is no goals bet below. The group games back that up: Scotland have scored three times in four games, and North Macedonia have lost all four without a goal, 0-10 in total.
Corners. North Macedonia concede 7.0 corners a match and take only 1.8. Scotland take 4.7 and concede 4.0. The model projects 9.4 corners, which puts over 7.5 corners at 62%, over 8.5 at 56% and over 9.5 at 50%.
What Scotland and North Macedonia need on Friday, Nov 13, 2026
Scotland win
Scotland are sure of third place at worst, so no March playoff to stay in League B. Second place stays open, but Scotland must end with more points than Slovenia, who finish above them on level points after a 0-0 draw in Ljubljana and a 2-1 win at Hampden.
Draw
Third place is also safe, because North Macedonia could reach 4 points at most. Second place would then need a Scotland win in St. Gallen on Monday and two Slovenia defeats.
Scotland lose
Second place is gone, and North Macedonia move one point behind. Fourth place, and a playoff against a League C runner up in March 2027, would then be possible on Monday.
What North Macedonia are playing for
Only a win keeps third place possible. A draw or a defeat leaves North Macedonia fourth, with a two legged playoff against a League C runner up in March 2027 to stay in League B.
League B rules for 2026/27: the four group winners go up to League A, the runners up play League A teams in playoffs, the third placed teams stay in League B, and the fourth placed teams play the four League C runners up in playoffs to stay in League B. The playoffs are on 25 to 30 March 2027. Teams level on points are split first by the games between them.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11-1 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5-3 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | ScotlandThis match | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | North MacedoniaThis match | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0-10 | -10 | 0 |
- Winner: up to League A
- Second: playoff for League A
- Third: stays in League B
- Fourth: playoff to stay in League B
Slovenia vs Switzerland in Maribor kicks off at the same time, 19:45 UTC. On Monday 16 November, North Macedonia host Slovenia in Skopje and Switzerland host Scotland in St. Gallen.
A record night for Robertson and a first home win to chase
Andy Robertson is expected to win his 102nd Scotland cap on Friday, level with Kenny Dalglish. Dalglish won his 102nd and final cap in a 3-0 win over Luxembourg at Hampden in November 1986. Robertson reached 100 caps in the 2-0 win in Skopje on 3 October, only the second Scotland player to get there, and he would hold the record alone if he plays in St. Gallen on Monday. He said Dalglish "will always be the greatest in this country".
Sébastien Pocognoli is still waiting for a first home win as Scotland head coach. His two Hampden games ended in a 3-0 defeat by Switzerland and a 2-1 defeat by Slovenia, and his only win in four games came in Skopje. Scott McTominay is back for this camp after minor heart surgery kept him out of all four group games so far.
North Macedonia arrive without a goal in eight games and without a win in 12. Coach Goce Sedloski has made changes: striker Bojan Miovski is not in the squad, and Nikola Serafimov, Imran Fetai, Stefan Despotovski and Darko Churlinov are back.
The October meeting showed the gap between the sides. Kieron Bowie scored early in Skopje, John McGinn added a penalty, and Scotland had 25 shots to 9 in a game with 10 corners. Scotland finished with 10 men after Scott McKenna was sent off, and McKenna now misses the rematch through injury.
Scotland vs North Macedonia team news and predicted lineups
Scotland
Head coach Sébastien Pocognoli, one win in his first four games
- Back
Scott McTominay, after minor heart surgery kept him out of all four group games so far. Kieran Tierney and Ché Adams return after injury
- Out
Scott McKenna and Kenny McLean (injured). Stephen Welsh and Luis Binks withdrew from the squad injured
- Called up
Ryan Porteous and David Bates replace Welsh and Binks. James Penrice has a first call up
- Milestone
Andy Robertson is expected to win his 102nd cap, level with the Scotland record of Kenny Dalglish
Scotland predicted XI: Gunn; Hickey, Hendry, Tierney; Gannon-Doak, Ferguson, Gilmour, Robertson; McGinn, McTominay; McBurnie
North Macedonia
Head coach Goce Sedloski
- Not in squad
Striker Bojan Miovski
- Recalled
Nikola Serafimov, Imran Fetai, Stefan Despotovski and Darko Churlinov
- Called up
Shkendija forward Marko Gjorgjievski
- Key man
Captain Enis Bardhi in attacking midfield, behind the striker Elmin Rastoder
- Form
No goal in eight games and no win in 12
North Macedonia predicted XI: Dimitrievski; Ilievski, Meljichi, Musliu, Alioski; Elmas, Atanasov; Mitrovski, Bardhi, Doriev; Rastoder
Scotland vs North Macedonia head to head
Last 5 meetings
- 10corners
North Macedonia0-2Scotland
UEFA Nations League - n/a
North Macedonia1-2Scotland
World Cup 2014 qualifier, Skopje - n/a
Scotland1-1North Macedonia
World Cup 2014 qualifier, Hampden Park - n/a
Scotland2-0North Macedonia
World Cup 2010 qualifier, Hampden Park - n/a
North Macedonia1-0Scotland
World Cup 2010 qualifier, Skopje
Corner counts come from our match data where it exists. Older meetings show n/a.
All time, Scotland and North Macedonia have met five times: 3 Scotland wins, 1 draw and 1 North Macedonia win, so Scotland have won 60% of the meetings. North Macedonia won the first game 1-0 in Skopje in September 2008, and Scotland are unbeaten in the four since. North Macedonia have never won at Hampden: a 2-0 Scotland win in 2009 and a 1-1 draw in 2012.
Scotland vs North Macedonia best bets for Friday, Nov 13, 2026
One bet here, not two. The model does not lean towards goals in this match, so the only card is for corners.
Best bet for corners
Over 7.5 corners: North Macedonia give them away
North Macedonia concede 7.0 corners a match and Scotland take 4.7. In Skopje Scotland had 25 shots to 9, and the game produced 10 corners. The risk is that the total leans on Scotland alone, since North Macedonia take only 1.8 a match. The model projects 9.4; for a bigger price, over 8.5 corners is 1.52 at Roobet.
Scotland vs North Macedonia odds: best prices right now
What the market says
Best price per outcome across the sportsbooks we track. Implied chance is 1 divided by the odds, before the sportsbook margin.
Scotland vs North Macedonia corners in one minute
Corner averages per match
Corners for, per match
Corners against, per match lower is better
Total match corners
First half corners
Better in that row
The Scotland vs North Macedonia corner prediction page lists every corner line from 7.5 to 11.5, the first half numbers and the price at each sportsbook, updated through the day.
Scotland vs North Macedonia prediction FAQ
Who will win Scotland vs North Macedonia?
The betting market makes Scotland clear favourites at 1.20, a 83% implied chance, for Friday, Nov 13, 2026, at Hampden Park. The model does not price the match result; its main pick is over 7.5 corners at 62%. The editor score call is Scotland 2-0 North Macedonia.
What is the Scotland vs North Macedonia score prediction?
Scotland 2-0 North Macedonia. This is the editor score call, an opinion rather than model output, and it fits a model that rates over 2.5 goals at only 45%.
Can Scotland still finish second in Nations League B Group 1?
Yes, but Scotland need help. They are three points behind Slovenia, and Slovenia finish above them on level points after a 0-0 draw and a 2-1 win at Hampden. A win on Friday, Nov 13, 2026, keeps the chase alive; a draw leaves Scotland needing a win in Switzerland and two Slovenia defeats; a defeat ends it. Switzerland, on 12 points, are out of reach for Scotland.
What was the score the last time Scotland played North Macedonia?
Scotland won 2-0 in Skopje on 3 October 2026 in the Nations League. Kieron Bowie scored early and John McGinn added a penalty, on the night Andy Robertson won his 100th cap.
Is Scott McTominay playing for Scotland against North Macedonia?
McTominay is back in the squad after minor heart surgery kept him out of the four group games in September and October, and previews expect him to start. Scott McKenna and Kenny McLean are out injured, and Stephen Welsh and Luis Binks withdrew from the squad.
Will Andy Robertson break the Scotland caps record?
If he plays on Friday, Robertson wins his 102nd cap and draws level with Kenny Dalglish. He would hold the record alone if he also plays against Switzerland in St. Gallen on Monday.
What time is Scotland vs North Macedonia and where is it played?
Kickoff is 19:45 UTC on Friday, Nov 13, 2026, at Hampden Park in Glasgow. In Scotland the match is live on BBC Two Scotland.
Live tracker: what changed before kickoff on Friday, Nov 13, 2026
- Scotland to win: best price 1.21 to 1.20 (now Thunderpick).
Affiliate links pay corneredge.bet a commission; rankings stay independent. Read the responsible gambling page for support tools and external help resources.