Slovenia vs Switzerland prediction
Switzerland should edge a tight game in Maribor, with Slovenia pushed on by a sold out home crowd. The corneredge.bet model rates over 7.5 corners at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. The betting market makes Switzerland 58% favourites at 1.73. A draw is enough for Switzerland to win the group and return to League A, so Slovenia need a win to keep the race for first place open. Switzerland are without captain Granit Xhaka, who has a calf injury. Editor score call: Slovenia 1-2 Switzerland.
Match facts
- Match
- Slovenia vs Switzerland
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League 2026/27
- Group
- League B, Group 1, matchday 5
- Date
- Friday, Nov 13, 2026
- Kickoff
- 19:45 UTC
- Venue
- Ljudski vrt, Maribor
- Referee
- Jasper Vergoote (Belgium)
- At stake
- A draw makes Switzerland group winners
- Last meeting
- Switzerland 2-1 Slovenia, 3 October 2026
- Missing
- Xhaka, Manzambi (SUI); Janža, Zec (SVN)
Model verdict for Friday, Nov 13 2026
Switzerland are favourites, and the model leans to corners first and goals second.
Over 7.5 corners
Bet
Over 7.5 corners
Over 8.5 corners
Bet
Over 8.5 corners
Over 2.5 goals
Bet
Over 2.5 goals
Market view, best prices: Slovenia 5.70 (18% implied), draw 3.60, Switzerland 1.73 (58% implied).
Acca bets with Slovenia vs Switzerland
FivefoldBalanced
72% avg confidence
View slip
FivefoldBalanced
-
1
1.41
Fri 13 Nov, 19:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match
Slovenia v Switzerland
Corners Over 7.5 corners 64% - 2 1.38
- 3 1.40
- 4 1.43
-
5
1.40
Fri 13 Nov, 16:00 UTC · Africa Cup of Nations 2027 Qualification
BTTS Both teams to score: No 71%
Where to bet it
Seven bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Slovenia v SwitzerlandOver 7.5 corners | 1.41 | 1.42 | 1.45 | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.38 | 1.39 |
| 2CD Leganes v Burgos CFOver 7.5 corners | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.37 | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| 3Andorra v GibraltarBoth teams to score: No | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.37 |
| 4AFC Wimbledon v BlackpoolOver 9.5 corners | 1.43 | 1.41 | 1.43 | 1.41 | 1.43 | 1.45 | 1.45 |
| 5South Africa v KenyaBoth teams to score: No | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.37 | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Combined odds | 5.45 | 5.41 | 5.41 | 5.30 | 5.29 | 5.26 | 5.22 |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 5 legs combine at odds of 5.45 at Mostbet, with 72% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $54.50. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
EightfoldLong shot
74% avg confidence
View slip
EightfoldLong shot
-
1
1.41
Fri 13 Nov, 19:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match
Slovenia v Switzerland
Corners Over 7.5 corners 64% - 2 1.44
-
3
1.52
Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Scotland Championship
Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's Park
Corners Over 8.5 corners 76% -
4
1.60
Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League
Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 75% - 5 1.48
- 6 1.51
- 7 1.46
-
8
1.58
Sun 15 Nov, 15:15 UTC · Spain Segunda Division
Corners Over 8.5 corners 72%
Where to bet it
Only 22Bet offers every leg in this slip.
| Leg | 6 of 8 | 4 of 8 | 3 of 8 | 3 of 8 | 2 of 8 | 2 of 8 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Slovenia v SwitzerlandOver 7.5 corners | 1.41 | 1.42 | 1.39 | 1.38 | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.45 |
| 2Germany v NetherlandsOver 2.5 goals | 1.44 | — | 1.52 | — | — | — | — |
| 3Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's ParkOver 8.5 corners | 1.52 | 1.52 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4Sweden v Bosnia & HerzegovinaOver 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.56 |
| 5Atlético Goianiense v Cuiaba ECOver 9.5 corners | 1.48 | 1.51 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6Criciuma EC v Novorizontino SPOver 9.5 corners | 1.51 | 1.56 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7Coritiba v SantosOver 9.5 corners | 1.46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8Granada CF v UD Las PalmasOver 8.5 corners | 1.58 | 1.58 | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.54 | — | — |
| Combined odds | 25.46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 8 legs combine at odds of 25.46 at 22Bet, with 74% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $254.60. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
Editor score call
OpinionFull time call · Fri, Nov 13 · 19:45 UTC · Ljudski vrt
Why 1-2
Switzerland have conceded one goal in four group games, and Slovenia scored it, through Žan Vipotnik after two minutes in Lucerne. Slovenia must attack at home to keep first place in reach, which should leave space for Switzerland, who score 1.3 goals a match in the data. With the model leaning to over 2.5 goals, we expect three goals and a narrow Switzerland win.
What backs the call
- ModelOver 2.5 goals58%
- MarketSwitzerland win58%
Our model does not predict exact scores. This call is the opinion of the corneredge.bet editorial team.
Slovenia vs Switzerland prediction: what the model says
The model works from team numbers for goals and corners. It does not price the match result, so who wins on Friday is the betting market view, not a model pick.
Goals. Slovenia score 1.3 goals a match and Switzerland 1.3. The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58%, best price 2.25 at Thunderpick. That is a lean rather than a strong edge, and smaller than the corners pick.
Corners. Slovenia take 4.6 corners a match and concede 5.1. Switzerland take 4.6 and concede 3.9. The model projects 9.2 corners in total, which puts over 7.5 corners at 64% and over 8.5 corners at 58%.
What Slovenia and Switzerland need on Friday, Nov 13, 2026
Slovenia win
Slovenia are sure of at least second place, so at worst a promotion playoff in March 2027. First place is then decided on Monday 16 November, with Slovenia in Skopje and Switzerland at home to Scotland.
A draw
Switzerland win the group and go back to League A with a game to spare. Slovenia move to 8 points and make second place safe with a win in Skopje on Monday.
Switzerland win
Switzerland win the group and go back to League A. Slovenia stay on 7 points, and Scotland can still catch them on points by winning both of their last two games.
What Slovenia cannot lose
Their place in League B. North Macedonia can reach 6 points at most, so Slovenia cannot finish fourth, and third place stays in League B.
League B rules for 2026/27: the four group winners go up to League A, the four runners up play home and away promotion playoffs against League A sides in March 2027, the third placed teams stay in League B, and the four fourth placed teams play relegation playoffs against the League C runners up.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SwitzerlandThis match | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11-1 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | SloveniaThis match | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5-3 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0-10 | -10 | 0 |
- Winner: up to League A
- Second: playoff for League A
- Third: stays in League B
- Fourth: playoff to stay in League B
Scotland vs North Macedonia is also played on Friday at 19:45 UTC. North Macedonia vs Slovenia and Switzerland vs Scotland follow on Monday 16 November.
Back to Maribor, where Slovenia last beat Switzerland
Slovenia have beaten Switzerland twice in 12 meetings. The last win came at Ljudski vrt in Maribor on 9 October 2014, when Milivoje Novaković scored the only goal in the 79th minute of a Euro 2016 qualifier. Friday takes the national team back to the same ground, because the pitch at Stožice in Ljubljana is in poor condition, and the stadium is sold out.
Boštjan Cesar knows this fixture from the pitch. The former Slovenia captain scored in Basel on 5 September 2015, when Slovenia led 2-0 and still lost 3-2. Now the head coach, he said this week that he believes his side can compete with the favoured Swiss, and that he expects the full stadium to act as a 12th player.
The October meeting showed both the hope and the gap. Vipotnik put Slovenia ahead in Lucerne after two minutes, but an Erik Janža own goal and a Dan Ndoye goal turned the game before half time. Three days later Slovenia came from a goal down to win 2-1 at Hampden Park, with Aljoša Matko and Danijel Šturm scoring.
Switzerland arrive with four wins from four and 11 goals scored. Under Murat Yakin they have conceded once in the group, and one point on Friday sends them straight back to League A.
Slovenia vs Switzerland team news and predicted lineups
Slovenia
Head coach Boštjan Cesar, the former Slovenia captain
- Suspended
Erik Janža and David Zec, both booked against Switzerland and Scotland in October
- Out
Benjamin Šeško (shin injury), Timi Max Elšnik (injury)
- Doubts
David Brekalo has not trained fully this week
- Called up
Relja Obrić, the Atalanta defender, in his first senior squad
- Form
Aljoša Matko scored in both group wins, against North Macedonia and Scotland
Switzerland
Head coach Murat Yakin
- Out
Granit Xhaka (calf), Johan Manzambi (calf), Miro Muheim (injury)
- Doubts
Zeki Amdouni and Ruben Vargas are not fully fit
- Back
Breel Embolo, after missing the September and October games
- Key man
Dan Ndoye, who scored in the 3-0 win over Slovenia in September 2025 and the 2-1 win in October 2026
- Form
Four wins from four in the group, 11 goals scored and 1 conceded
Slovenia vs Switzerland head to head
Last 5 meetings
- 7corners
Switzerland2-1Slovenia
UEFA Nations League - n/a
Slovenia0-0Switzerland
World Cup 2026 qualifier, Ljubljana - n/a
Switzerland3-0Slovenia
World Cup 2026 qualifier, Basel - n/a
Switzerland3-2Slovenia
Euro 2016 qualifier, Basel - n/a
Slovenia1-0Switzerland
Euro 2016 qualifier, Maribor
Corner counts come from our match data where it exists. Older meetings show n/a.
All time, Slovenia and Switzerland have met 12 times: 8 Switzerland wins, 2 draws and 2 Slovenia wins, so Switzerland have won two thirds of the meetings. Slovenia last won on 9 October 2014, 1-0 at Ljudski vrt in Maribor, the same ground as on Friday.
Slovenia vs Switzerland best bets for Friday, Nov 13, 2026
Best bet for goals
Over 2.5 goals: Slovenia must chase the game
Switzerland scored three goals in three of their four group games, and Slovenia need a win at home to keep first place in reach. The model rates this at 58%, with 2.25 at Thunderpick the best price. The risk is a Swiss defence that has let in one goal in four group games: the last two meetings ended 2-1 and 0-0.
Best bet for corners
Over 7.5 corners: the strongest line, with one warning
Slovenia take 4.6 corners a match and concede 5.1, and the model projects 9.2 in total. The warning: each of the last three meetings ended with exactly 7 corners, with Switzerland holding most of the ball. A Slovenia side that has to attack at home should change that pattern. Over 8.5 corners pays 1.80 at 58%.
Slovenia vs Switzerland odds: best prices right now
What the market says
Best price per outcome across the sportsbooks we track. Implied chance is 1 divided by the odds, before the sportsbook margin.
Slovenia vs Switzerland corners in one minute
Corner averages per match
Corners for, per match
Corners against, per match lower is better
Total match corners
First half corners
Better in that row
Every corner line from 7.5 to 11.5, with prices by sportsbook and first half numbers, is on the Slovenia vs Switzerland corner prediction page.
Slovenia vs Switzerland prediction FAQ
Who will win Slovenia vs Switzerland?
The betting market makes Switzerland favourites at 1.73, a 58% implied chance, for Friday, Nov 13, 2026, in Maribor. The model does not price the match result; it backs over 7.5 corners at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. The editor score call is Slovenia 1-2 Switzerland.
What is the Slovenia vs Switzerland score prediction?
Slovenia 1-2 Switzerland. It is an editor opinion, not model output, and it agrees with the model lean to over 2.5 goals.
Do Switzerland need to win in Maribor to top the group?
No. A draw against Slovenia on Friday, Nov 13, 2026, makes Switzerland group winners and takes them back to League A with a game to spare. If Slovenia win, first place is decided on Monday 16 November.
What was the score the last time Slovenia played Switzerland?
Switzerland won 2-1 in Lucerne on 3 October 2026 in the Nations League. Žan Vipotnik scored for Slovenia after two minutes, before an Erik Janža own goal and a Dan Ndoye goal turned it around.
Have Slovenia ever beaten Switzerland?
Yes, twice in 12 meetings: 1-0 in Basel on 6 June 2001 in World Cup qualifying, and 1-0 at Ljudski vrt in Maribor on 9 October 2014 in Euro 2016 qualifying.
Is Granit Xhaka playing for Switzerland against Slovenia?
No. Xhaka has a calf injury and left the Switzerland camp. Johan Manzambi (calf) and Miro Muheim are out too, while Breel Embolo is back in the squad.
What time is Slovenia vs Switzerland and where is it played?
Kickoff is 19:45 UTC on Friday, Nov 13, 2026, at Ljudski vrt in Maribor, and the game is sold out. It moved from Stožice in Ljubljana because of the state of the pitch there.
Live tracker: what changed before kickoff on Friday, Nov 13, 2026
- Switzerland to win: best price 1.74 to 1.73 (now Thunderpick).
- Over 2.5 goals: best price 2.21 to 2.25.
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