Moldova vs Kazakhstan prediction
Moldova vs Kazakhstan looks like a close game with goals in it. The betting market can barely split the two sides: Moldova 2.70, the draw 3.02 and Kazakhstan 2.90. The corneredge.bet model rates over 7.5 corners at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. Kazakhstan must win to stay in the race for a playoff place, and they are without their most capped player, Serhiy Malyi, who is suspended. Editor score call: Moldova 2-1 Kazakhstan.
Match facts
- Match
- Moldova vs Kazakhstan
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League 2026/27
- Group
- League C, Group 3, matchday 5
- Date
- Friday, Nov 13, 2026
- Kickoff
- 17:00 UTC
- Venue
- Zimbru Stadium, Chișinău
- Referee
- Andrea Colombo (Italy)
- At stake
- Kazakhstan must win to stay in the playoff race
- Last meeting
- Kazakhstan 1-2 Moldova, 2 October 2026
- Missing
- Malyi (suspended) and Satpaev (injured) for Kazakhstan
Model verdict for Friday, Nov 13 2026
Corners and goals both point over in a game the market cannot split.
Over 7.5 corners
Bet
Over 7.5 corners
Over 2.5 goals
Bet
Over 2.5 goals
Over 8.5 corners
Bet
Over 8.5 corners
Market view, best prices: Moldova 2.70 (37% implied), draw 3.02, Kazakhstan 2.90 (34% implied).
Acca bets with Moldova vs Kazakhstan
TrebleLower risk
77% avg confidence
View slip
TrebleLower risk
-
1
1.34
Fri 13 Nov, 17:00 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match
Moldova v Kazakhstan
Corners Over 7.5 corners 69% -
2
1.26
Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Scotland Championship
Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's Park
Corners Over 7.5 corners 82% - 3 1.25
Where to bet it
Two bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Moldova v KazakhstanOver 7.5 corners | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.36 | 1.43 | 1.35 |
| 2Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's ParkOver 7.5 corners | 1.26 | 1.26 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3Atlético Goianiense v Cuiaba ECOver 8.5 corners | 1.25 | 1.26 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Combined odds | 2.11 | 2.10 | — | — | — | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 3 legs combine at odds of 2.11 at 22Bet, with 77% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $21.10. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
FivefoldBalanced
74% avg confidence
View slip
FivefoldBalanced
-
1
1.43
Fri 13 Nov, 17:00 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match
Moldova v Kazakhstan
Corners Over 7.5 corners 69% - 2 1.37
- 3 1.43
-
4
1.37
Fri 13 Nov, 16:00 UTC · Africa Cup of Nations 2027 Qualification
BTTS Both teams to score: No 71% - 5 1.42
Where to bet it
Seven bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Moldova v KazakhstanOver 7.5 corners | 1.43 | 1.36 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.34 | 1.32 |
| 2CD Leganes v Burgos CFOver 7.5 corners | 1.37 | 1.38 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| 3AFC Wimbledon v BlackpoolOver 9.5 corners | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.45 | 1.45 | 1.43 | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| 4South Africa v KenyaBoth teams to score: No | 1.37 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| 5Serbia v GermanyOver 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.41 | 1.41 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Combined odds | 5.45 | 5.26 | 5.22 | 5.22 | 5.07 | 5.04 | 4.96 |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 5 legs combine at odds of 5.45 at Roobet, with 74% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $54.50. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
EightfoldLong shot
73% avg confidence
View slip
EightfoldLong shot
-
1
1.34
Fri 13 Nov, 17:00 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match
Moldova v Kazakhstan
Corners Over 7.5 corners 69% - 2 1.44
-
3
1.60
Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League
Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 75% - 4 1.60
- 5 1.44
-
6
1.58
Sun 15 Nov, 15:15 UTC · Spain Segunda Division
Corners Over 8.5 corners 72% - 7 1.56
- 8 1.49
Where to bet it
Two bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 7 of 8 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 8 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Moldova v KazakhstanOver 7.5 corners | 1.34 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.35 | 1.36 | 1.43 |
| 2Germany v NetherlandsOver 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.52 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3Sweden v Bosnia & HerzegovinaOver 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.56 |
| 4Poland v SwedenOver 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.58 | 1.58 | — | — | — | — |
| 5Romania v PolandOver 7.5 corners | 1.44 | 1.40 | 1.41 | 1.44 | 1.46 | 1.44 | 1.46 |
| 6Granada CF v UD Las PalmasOver 8.5 corners | 1.58 | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.58 | — | 1.54 | — |
| 7Haiti v USAOver 2.5 goals | 1.56 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.56 | 1.55 | 1.57 | 1.55 |
| 8Mirassol v Atletico-MGOver 9.5 corners | 1.49 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.49 | 1.49 | — | 1.49 |
| Combined odds | 26.12 | 25.18 | — | — | — | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 8 legs combine at odds of 26.12 at 22Bet, with 73% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $261.20. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
Editor score call
OpinionFull time call · Fri, Nov 13 · 17:00 UTC · Zimbru Stadium
Why 2-1
Moldova won 2-1 in Astana in October, and every Kazakhstan game in this group has had goals at both ends. Kazakhstan need a win, so they should push forward and leave space behind them. Moldova average 1.3 goals a game in our data, and we expect them to edge a game with goals at both ends again.
What backs the call
- ModelOver 2.5 goals64%
- MarketMoldova win37%
Our model does not predict exact scores. This call is the opinion of the corneredge.bet editorial team.
Moldova vs Kazakhstan prediction: what the model says
The model builds its picks from goals and corners numbers for each team. It does not rate the match result, so the result view in this article comes from the betting market alone.
Goals. Moldova score 1.3 goals a game in our data and Kazakhstan 1.0. Over 2.5 goals came up in 67% of the Kazakhstan games in that sample and 50% of the Moldova games. The model puts over 2.5 goals at 64%, best price 2.53 at Thunderpick.
Corners. Moldova take 4.5 corners a match and concede 6.8. Kazakhstan take 4.7 and concede 7.3. Both defences give away more corners than their attacks win, which lifts the total. The model projects 10.0 corners, with over 7.5 at 69% and over 8.5 at 63%.
What Moldova and Kazakhstan need on Friday, Nov 13, 2026
Moldova win
Moldova reach 7 points and Kazakhstan are out of the race for second place. Moldova then play away to the Faroe Islands on Monday 16 November: a draw there is enough for second place unless the Faroe Islands beat Slovakia on Friday, in which case Moldova would in practice need a win.
Draw
Kazakhstan can no longer reach the playoffs. Moldova move to 5 points, one ahead of the Faroe Islands, and a win against the Faroe Islands on Monday would then secure second place. A draw on Monday would also be enough if the Faroe Islands lose to Slovakia on Friday.
Kazakhstan win
Kazakhstan get a first win under John van 't Schip and move above Moldova on 5 points. Second place would then be settled on Monday, when the Faroe Islands host Moldova and Kazakhstan host Slovakia in Astana.
Third or fourth place
No relegation risk for either side. In 2026/27 the teams that finish third and fourth in League C both stay in League C.
League C rules for 2026/27: the group winners go up to League B, the runners up play the fourth placed teams of League B in the League B/C playoffs in March 2027, and the teams in third and fourth place stay in League C. Teams level on points are split first by the results of the games between them, then by overall goal difference.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9-2 | +7 | 10 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5-5 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | MoldovaThis match | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | -5 | 4 |
| 4 | KazakhstanThis match | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5-7 | -2 | 2 |
- Winner: up to League B
- Second: promotion playoff
- Third and fourth: stay in League C
The Faroe Islands are above Moldova on goal difference after a 1-1 draw between them in Chișinău. Slovakia host the Faroe Islands at 19:45 UTC on Friday, and Slovakia win the group if they avoid defeat. On Monday 16 November, the Faroe Islands host Moldova and Kazakhstan host Slovakia, both at 15:00 UTC.
Six weeks after Astana: the rematch in Chișinău
On 2 October Moldova won 2-1 at Astana Arena. Nicky Cleșcenco scored in first half stoppage time, Petru Popescu added a second five minutes after the break, and Nuraly Alip pulled one back for Kazakhstan. The win ended a run of 17 games without a win for Moldova and was the first for Lilian Popescu as head coach. That game had 15 corners.
It is still the only Moldova win since November 2024. Four days later they lost 4-0 at home to Slovakia, and they have not won any of their last five home games. Lilian Popescu took over in September 2025, after Serghei Cleșcenco resigned following an 11-1 defeat in Norway.
Kazakhstan come to Chișinău without a win in six games. John van 't Schip, a Euro 1988 winner with the Netherlands, took charge in August and has two draws and two defeats so far. Kazakhstan have scored in every group game, four of their five goals from defenders, but they have also conceded in every one.
History in this fixture runs both ways. The only previous meeting in Moldova, the first leg of a Nations League playout in March 2022, ended Moldova 1-2 Kazakhstan. Moldova won the second leg 1-0 in Astana, but Kazakhstan went through on penalties.
Moldova vs Kazakhstan team news and predicted lineups
Moldova
Head coach Lilian Popescu, in charge since September 2025
- Fitness
No injuries or suspensions reported before the game
- Goals
Nicky Cleșcenco and Petru Popescu scored the goals in the 2-1 win in Astana on 2 October
- Form
The win in Astana is the only Moldova win in their last 19 games, and they have not won in their last five home games
- Likely starters
Celeadnic in goal; Reabciuk, Baboglo and Iovu in defence; Fratea and Perciun in midfield; Petru Popescu and Cleșcenco in attack. Previews differ on the shape and the other three places
Kazakhstan
Head coach John van 't Schip, appointed in August 2026 and still waiting for a first win after four games
- Suspended
Serhiy Malyi, the most capped player in Kazakhstan history, after his red card against the Faroe Islands on 6 October
- Out
Forward Dastan Satpaev is injured and not in the squad
- In form
Defender Nuraly Alip scored in both October home games, against Moldova and the Faroe Islands
- Form
Kazakhstan have scored in all four group games but also conceded in all four
Moldova vs Kazakhstan head to head
Last 8 meetings
- 15corners
Kazakhstan1-2Moldova
UEFA Nations League - n/a
Kazakhstan0-1Moldova
Nations League playout, Astana, Kazakhstan won on penalties - n/a
Moldova1-2Kazakhstan
Nations League playout, Chișinău - n/a
Kazakhstan1-0Moldova
Friendly, Turkey - n/a
Moldova1-1Kazakhstan
Friendly, Turkey - n/a
Moldova1-3Kazakhstan
Friendly, Turkey - n/a
Moldova1-0Kazakhstan
Friendly, Turkey - n/a
Moldova1-0Kazakhstan
Friendly, Turkey
Corner counts come from our match data where it exists. Older meetings show n/a.
All time, Moldova and Kazakhstan have met eight times: four Moldova wins, one draw and three Kazakhstan wins, with eight goals each. That is a win in half of the meetings for Moldova. One of those wins, 1-0 in Astana in March 2022, still sent Kazakhstan through on penalties in a Nations League playout, so some record books list it as a draw. The only previous meeting in Moldova went to Kazakhstan, 2-1 at Zimbru Stadium in the first leg of that playout.
Moldova vs Kazakhstan best bets for Friday, Nov 13, 2026
Best bet for goals
Over 2.5 goals: Kazakhstan have to chase the game
Kazakhstan need a win to stay in the playoff race, and all four of their group games had goals at both ends. The first meeting ended 2-1. The risk is a slow, careful game if Moldova sit back to protect a draw, which still leaves them in control of second place, and that is why the price is not shorter.
Best bet for corners
Over 7.5 corners: two defences that give corners away
Moldova concede 6.8 corners a match and Kazakhstan 7.3. The meeting in Astana in October had 15 corners. The model projects 10.0, and over 8.5 corners at 1.78 is the next step up for a bigger price.
Moldova vs Kazakhstan odds: best prices right now
What the market says
Best price per outcome across the sportsbooks we track. Implied chance is 1 divided by the odds, before the sportsbook margin.
Moldova vs Kazakhstan corners in one minute
Corner averages per match
Corners for, per match
Corners against, per match lower is better
Total match corners
First half corners
Better in that row
Every corner line from 7.5 to 11.5, with prices by sportsbook and first half numbers, is on the Moldova vs Kazakhstan corner prediction page.
Moldova vs Kazakhstan prediction FAQ
Who will win Moldova vs Kazakhstan?
The betting market sees a close game on Friday, Nov 13, 2026: Moldova 2.70 (37% implied), the draw 3.02 and Kazakhstan 2.90. The model does not rate the match result; it backs over 7.5 corners at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. The editor score call is Moldova 2-1 Kazakhstan.
What is the Moldova vs Kazakhstan score prediction?
Moldova 2-1 Kazakhstan, the same score as in Astana in October. It is an editor call, not model output, and it fits the model lean towards over 2.5 goals.
Can Kazakhstan still finish second in League C Group 3?
Only with a win. UEFA confirms that Kazakhstan cannot reach the League B/C playoffs if they fail to beat Moldova on Friday, Nov 13, 2026. A win would lift them to 5 points, above Moldova, before they host Slovakia in Astana on Monday 16 November.
What happened the last time Moldova played Kazakhstan?
Moldova won 2-1 at Astana Arena on 2 October 2026 in the Nations League. Nicky Cleșcenco and Petru Popescu scored for Moldova and Nuraly Alip replied for Kazakhstan. It was the first Moldova win in 17 games.
Is Serhiy Malyi playing for Kazakhstan against Moldova?
No. Malyi, the most capped player in Kazakhstan history, was sent off against the Faroe Islands on 6 October and is suspended. Forward Dastan Satpaev is also out injured.
What time is Moldova vs Kazakhstan and where is it played?
Kickoff is 17:00 UTC on Friday, Nov 13, 2026, at Zimbru Stadium in Chișinău. The referee is Andrea Colombo from Italy.
Live tracker: what changed before kickoff on Friday, Nov 13, 2026
Prices, chances and slips on this page refresh automatically from our live feeds. Any change since publication is listed here with its time.
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