Netherlands vs Greece prediction
The Netherlands should edge Greece in Amsterdam, but the clearer read is on corners and goals. The corneredge.bet model rates over 7.5 corners at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 61%, and the betting market makes the Netherlands 64% favourites at 1.57. Both teams have 8 points at the top of League A Group 2, and a Greece win would make sure of first place for Greece. The Netherlands play without captain Virgil van Dijk, who withdrew with a fitness problem. Editor score call: Netherlands 2-1 Greece.
Match facts
- Match
- Netherlands vs Greece
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League 2026/27
- Group
- League A, Group 2, matchday 5
- Date
- Friday, Nov 13, 2026
- Kickoff
- 19:45 UTC
- Venue
- Johan Cruijff ArenA, Amsterdam
- Referee
- Rohit Saggi (Norway)
- At stake
- A Greece win seals first place
- Last meeting
- Greece 2-2 Netherlands, 1 October 2026
- Missing
- Van Dijk and Brobbey (Netherlands)
Model verdict for Friday, Nov 13 2026
Corners lead the way and goals follow, with the Netherlands favoured to win.
Over 7.5 corners
Bet
Over 7.5 corners
Over 8.5 corners
Bet
Over 8.5 corners
Over 2.5 goals
Bet
Over 2.5 goals
Market view, best prices: Netherlands 1.57 (64% implied), draw 4.44, Greece 5.80.
Acca bets with Netherlands vs Greece
TrebleLower risk
76% avg confidence
View slip
TrebleLower risk
-
1
1.28
Fri 13 Nov, 19:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match
Netherlands v Greece
Corners Over 7.5 corners 67% - 2 1.26
-
3
1.40
Fri 13 Nov, 08:30 UTC · Australia Championship
Preston Lions v Queensland Lions FC
Corners Over 8.5 corners 79%
Where to bet it
Two bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 2 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Netherlands v GreeceOver 7.5 corners | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.31 | 1.35 | 1.35 | — | — |
| 2Atlético Goianiense v Cuiaba ECOver 8.5 corners | 1.26 | 1.25 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3Preston Lions v Queensland Lions FCOver 8.5 corners | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.41 | — | — | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Combined odds | 2.26 | 2.24 | — | — | — | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 3 legs combine at odds of 2.26 at Megapari, with 76% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $22.60. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
FivefoldBalanced
74% avg confidence
View slip
FivefoldBalanced
-
1
1.35
Fri 13 Nov, 19:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match
Netherlands v Greece
Corners Over 7.5 corners 67% - 2 1.37
- 3 1.42
- 4 1.43
- 5 1.39
Where to bet it
Five bookmakers offer every leg. Same bet, different odds.
| Leg | 4 of 5 | 4 of 5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Netherlands v GreeceOver 7.5 corners | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.31 | 1.28 | 1.28 | — | — |
| 2CD Leganes v Burgos CFOver 7.5 corners | 1.37 | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| 3Serbia v GermanyOver 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| 4AFC Wimbledon v BlackpoolOver 9.5 corners | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.41 | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.45 |
| 5Andorra v GibraltarBoth teams to score: No | 1.39 | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.39 | 1.37 |
| Combined odds | 5.22 | 5.14 | 5.07 | 4.95 | 4.88 | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 5 legs combine at odds of 5.22 at Roobet, with 74% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $52.20. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
EightfoldLong shot
74% avg confidence
View slip
EightfoldLong shot
-
1
1.28
Fri 13 Nov, 19:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League · this match
Netherlands v Greece
Corners Over 7.5 corners 67% - 2 1.44
-
3
1.60
Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 UTC · UEFA Nations League
Goals O2.5 Over 2.5 goals 75% -
4
1.52
Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 UTC · Scotland Championship
Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's Park
Corners Over 8.5 corners 76% - 5 1.51
- 6 1.49
- 7 1.60
- 8 1.49
Where to bet it
Only 22Bet offers every leg in this slip.
| Leg | 6 of 8 | 4 of 8 | 4 of 8 | 3 of 8 | 3 of 8 | 3 of 8 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Netherlands v GreeceOver 7.5 corners | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.35 | — | 1.35 | 1.31 | — |
| 2Germany v NetherlandsOver 2.5 goals | 1.44 | — | — | 1.52 | — | — | — |
| 3Sweden v Bosnia & HerzegovinaOver 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.56 |
| 4Stenhousemuir FC v Queen's ParkOver 8.5 corners | 1.52 | 1.52 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5Criciuma EC v Novorizontino SPOver 9.5 corners | 1.51 | 1.56 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6Mirassol v Atletico-MGOver 9.5 corners | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1.50 | 1.49 | — | 1.50 |
| 7Poland v SwedenOver 2.5 goals | 1.60 | — | — | 1.58 | — | — | 1.58 |
| 8Fleetwood Town v Tranmere RoversOver 9.5 corners | 1.49 | 1.50 | 1.51 | — | — | 1.49 | — |
| Combined odds | 24.04 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lime marks the best price on each leg. A bookmaker needs a price on every leg to take the slip.
All 8 legs combine at odds of 24.04 at 22Bet, with 74% average confidence and a $10 stake returning $240.40. One selection per match, prices move so check the slip before you bet.
Editor score call
OpinionFull time call · Fri, Nov 13 · 19:45 UTC · Johan Cruijff ArenA
Why 2-1
The Netherlands have scored in all four group games and average 2.8 goals a match in our data. They have also conceded in all four, and now they are without Virgil van Dijk. Greece scored twice against them in Thessaloniki, so we expect Greece to score again, but the home side to find one more.
What backs the call
- ModelOver 2.5 goals61%
- MarketNetherlands win64%
Our model does not predict exact scores. This call is the opinion of the corneredge.bet editorial team.
Netherlands vs Greece prediction: what the model says
The model builds its picks from team numbers for goals and corners. It has no match result pick, so who wins is left to the betting market here. Its three strongest lines are over 7.5 corners at 67%, over 8.5 corners at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Goals. The Netherlands average 2.8 goals per match in our data, and 70% of their games go over 2.5 goals; for Greece that share is 48%. In the group the Netherlands have scored and conceded in all four games, and the first meeting ended 2-2. The model puts over 2.5 goals at 61%, best price 1.65 at Mostbet.
Corners. In our data the Netherlands win 5.7 corners a game and give away 4.1, while Greece win 4.8 and give away 4.9. Put together, the model projects 9.7 corners, which makes over 7.5 corners a 67% chance at a best price of 1.35.
What the Netherlands and Greece need on Friday, Nov 13, 2026
Netherlands win
The Netherlands move to 11 points and are through to the quarter finals if Germany do not win in Belgrade the same night. If Germany do win, a draw in Berlin on Monday 16 November is enough.
Draw
Both teams move to 9 points and both are through if Germany lose to Serbia. If not, the group goes to Monday, when Germany host the Netherlands in Berlin and Greece host Serbia in Volos.
Greece win
Greece finish first whatever happens on Monday: nobody else can pass 11 points, and Greece would win a tie on points with the Netherlands or Germany on head to head results. The Netherlands would then need at least a draw in Berlin, and a win if Germany beat Serbia.
Why first place matters
Group winners meet a runner up from another group in the quarter finals in March 2027 and play the second leg at home.
League A rules for 2026/27: the top two in each group reach the quarter finals. The two best third placed teams stay up, the two worst third placed teams and the two best fourth placed teams play off against League B runners up, and the two worst fourth placed teams go down to League B.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NetherlandsThis match | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7-5 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 | GreeceThis match | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5-3 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3-2 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3-8 | -5 | 0 |
- Top two: quarter finals
- Third: stay up or playoff
- Fourth: playoff or relegation
The Netherlands sit first on goals scored: the 2-2 draw left the two teams level on head to head results. Serbia vs Germany in Belgrade is also played on Friday at 19:45 UTC. Germany vs Netherlands in Berlin and Greece vs Serbia in Volos close the group on Monday 16 November.
From 2-0 down in Thessaloniki to first place on the line in Amsterdam
Six weeks ago Greece led the Netherlands 2-0 at half time. Fotis Ioannidis and Giorgos Masouras scored in Thessaloniki on 1 October. Virgil van Dijk headed in a Joey Veerman corner on 59 minutes, Denzel Dumfries had two goals ruled out for offside, and substitute Tijjani Reijnders equalised in the 89th minute.
Xavi Hernández took over the Netherlands after the World Cup and is unbeaten in four games: two 2-1 wins over Serbia and draws with Germany and Greece. For Friday he has Frenkie de Jong back for the first time since the World Cup, where De Jong hurt his knee. He loses his captain, though: Van Dijk withdrew with a fitness problem on 9 November, and Brentford defender Sepp van den Berg has his first senior call up.
Greece are in League A for the first time, promoted after a 3-0 win in Scotland in the playoffs. Under Ivan Jovanović they are unbeaten in the group, with away wins in Serbia and Germany and home draws with the Netherlands and Germany. Before the campaign Jovanović said the aim was to stay in the top seeding group. A win in Amsterdam would go further: it would send Greece into the quarter finals as group winners.
History is on the Dutch side. Greece have never beaten the Netherlands in a competitive match, and Friday is the first meeting of the two teams in Amsterdam: every earlier game between them on Dutch soil was played in Eindhoven or Rotterdam.
Netherlands vs Greece team news and predicted lineups
Netherlands
Head coach Xavi Hernández, appointed after the World Cup
- Out
Virgil van Dijk and Brian Brobbey, who both withdrew with fitness problems on 9 November
- Not in squad
Ryan Gravenberch (injured), Jeremie Frimpong, Jorrel Hato, Nathan Aké
- Called up
Sepp van den Berg of Brentford, a first senior call up, in place of Van Dijk
- Back
Frenkie de Jong, for the first time since he hurt his knee at the World Cup. Donyell Malen and Ian Maatsen also return
- Form
Unbeaten in four under Xavi: two 2-1 wins over Serbia, draws with Germany and Greece
Greece
Head coach Ivan Jovanović
- Suspended
Christos Zafeiris and Manolis Saliakas
- Doubts
Dimitris Kourbelis (ankle)
- Recalled
Tasos Bakasetas, after missing the first four group games
- Called up
Ilias Koutsoupias, called up for more options in midfield
- Form
Unbeaten in the group: away wins in Serbia and Germany, home draws with the Netherlands and Germany
Netherlands vs Greece head to head
Last 5 meetings
- 14corners
Greece2-2Netherlands
UEFA Nations League - n/a
Greece0-1Netherlands
Euro 2024 qualifier, Athens - n/a
Netherlands3-0Greece
Euro 2024 qualifier, Eindhoven - n/a
Netherlands1-2Greece
Friendly, Eindhoven - n/a
Netherlands4-0Greece
Friendly, Eindhoven
Corner counts come from our match data where it exists. Older meetings show n/a.
All time, the Netherlands and Greece have met 12 times: 9 Netherlands wins, 2 draws and 1 Greece win, so the Netherlands have won 75% of the meetings. Greece have never beaten the Netherlands in a competitive match; their only win was a 2-1 friendly in Eindhoven on 1 September 2016.
Netherlands vs Greece best bets for Friday, Nov 13, 2026
Best bet for goals
Over 2.5 goals: the Dutch score, but they also concede
The Netherlands have scored in every group game and conceded in every one too, and the first meeting produced four goals. Van Dijk is missing from the back line this time. The risk is a cautious game between two teams level on 8 points, where one goal could settle it.
Best bet for corners
Over 7.5 corners: the Netherlands take the game to Greece
The Netherlands win 5.7 corners a game in our data and Greece give away 4.9. In Thessaloniki the Dutch dominated the second half while Greece ended the game in a more defensive setup, and the first Dutch goal came from a corner. The model projects 9.7 corners; for a bigger price, over 8.5 corners is 1.61 with a 61% model chance.
Netherlands vs Greece odds: best prices right now
What the market says
Best price per outcome across the sportsbooks we track. Implied chance is 1 divided by the odds, before the sportsbook margin.
Netherlands vs Greece corners in one minute
Corner averages per match
Corners for, per match
Corners against, per match lower is better
Total match corners
First half corners
Better in that row
The Netherlands vs Greece corner prediction page lists each corner line from 7.5 to 11.5 with the price at every sportsbook, plus first half corner numbers for both teams.
Netherlands vs Greece prediction FAQ
Who will win Netherlands vs Greece?
The betting market makes the Netherlands favourites at 1.57, a 64% implied chance, with the draw at 4.44 and Greece at 5.80. The model does not price the result; its strongest picks are over 7.5 corners at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 61%. The editor score call is Netherlands 2-1 Greece.
What is the Netherlands vs Greece score prediction?
Netherlands 2-1 Greece. This is the editor score call, an opinion rather than model output, and it fits the model lean towards over 2.5 goals.
Can Greece win the group in Amsterdam?
Yes. A Greece win on Friday, Nov 13, 2026, takes Greece to 11 points and makes sure of first place in League A Group 2, because Greece would finish above both the Netherlands and Germany on head to head results. A draw or a Dutch win leaves first place open until the last matchday on Monday 16 November.
What happened the last time the Netherlands played Greece?
They drew 2-2 in Thessaloniki on 1 October 2026. Greece led 2-0 at half time through Fotis Ioannidis and Giorgos Masouras, then Virgil van Dijk and Tijjani Reijnders scored in the second half for the Netherlands.
Is Virgil van Dijk playing for the Netherlands against Greece?
No. Van Dijk withdrew from the squad on 9 November with a fitness problem, and striker Brian Brobbey also pulled out. Brentford defender Sepp van den Berg was called up for the first time.
What time is Netherlands vs Greece and where is it played?
Kickoff is 19:45 UTC on Friday, Nov 13, 2026, at the Johan Cruijff ArenA in Amsterdam. Rohit Saggi of Norway is the referee.
Live tracker: what changed before kickoff on Friday, Nov 13, 2026
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